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Given two candidate models, and a set of target observations, we address the problem of measuring the relative goodness of fit of the two models. We propose two new statistical tests which are nonparametric, computationally efficient…

Generalized moment problems optimize functional expectation over a class of distributions with generalized moment constraints, i.e., the function in the moment can be any measurable function. These problems have recently attracted growing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-12 Jiayi Guo , Simai He , Bo Jiang , Zhen Wang

Objective: This paper proposes a framework to support the scientific research of standards so that they can be better measured, evaluated, and designed. Methods: Beginning with the notion of common models, the framework describes the…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Enrico Coiera

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

This paper explores the effects of simulated moments on the performance of inference methods based on moment inequalities. Commonly used confidence sets for parameters are level sets of criterion functions whose boundary points may depend…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-04-12 Hiroaki Kaido , Jiaxuan Li , Marc Rysman

Response times collected in computerised assessments provide information about the underlying response process and may exhibit within-person variation over the course of a test. We propose a latent variable model for log response times that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Gabriel Wallin , Nivedita Bhaktha

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

A goodness-of-fit test for the fitting of a parametric model to data obtained from a detector with finite resolution and limited acceptance is proposed. The parameters of the model are found by minimization of a statistic that is used for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-03-17 N. D. Gagunashvili

Real-world applications of machine learning models are often subject to legal or policy-based regulations. Some of these regulations require ensuring the validity of the model, i.e., the approximation error being smaller than a threshold. A…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Sven Lämmle , Can Bogoclu , Robert Voßhall , Anselm Haselhoff , Dirk Roos

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

Parameter estimation in linear errors-in-variables models typically requires that the measurement error distribution be known (or estimable from replicate data). A generalized method of moments approach can be used to estimate model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-04 Linh Nghiem , Michael Byrd , Cornelis Potgieter

This paper studies parameter estimation using L-moments, an alternative to traditional moments with attractive statistical properties. The estimation of model parameters by matching sample L-moments is known to outperform maximum likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Luis Alvarez , Chang Chiann , Pedro Morettin

Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

For many inference problems in statistics and econometrics, the unknown parameter is identified by a set of moment conditions. A generic method of solving moment conditions is the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). However, classical GMM…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-18 Dhruv Rohatgi , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Ordinal categorical data are widely collected in psychology, education, and other social sciences, appearing commonly in questionnaires, assessments, and surveys. Latent class models provide a flexible framework for uncovering unobserved…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Huan Qing

In model checking for regressions, nonparametric estimation-based tests usually have tractable limiting null distributions and are sensitive to oscillating alternative models, but suffer from the curse of dimensionality. In contrast,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Lingzhu Li , Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

Random-effects meta-analyses are very commonly used in medical statistics. Recent methodological developments include multivariate (multiple outcomes) and network (multiple treatments) meta-analysis. Here we provide a new model and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-16 Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz , Martin Law , Richard D Riley , Ian White

Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from pharmacokinetic drug dosage allocation and personalized medicine to marketing mix (4Ps) recommendations -- require an understanding of the unobserved heterogeneity in order to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-17 Jelena Bradic , Gerda Claeskens , Thomas Gueuning