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Bayesian optimization is a class of data efficient model based algorithms typically focused on global optimization. We consider the more general case where a user is faced with multiple problems that each need to be optimized conditional on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Michael Pearce , Janis Klaise , Matthew Groves

Two-phase methods are commonly used to solve bi-objective combinatorial optimization problems. In the first phase, all extreme supported nondominated points are generated through a dichotomic search. This phase also allows the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-04-10 Felipe O. Mota , Luís Paquete , Daniel Vanderpooten

Background: Risk prediction models are useful tools in clinical decision-making which help with risk stratification and resource allocations and may lead to a better health care for patients. AutoScore is a machine learning-based automatic…

Causal discovery for purely observational, categorical data is a long-standing challenging problem. Unlike continuous data, the vast majority of existing methods for categorical data focus on inferring the Markov equivalence class only,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Yang Ni , Bani Mallick

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov

Univariate or multivariate ordinal responses are often assumed to arise from a latent continuous parametric distribution, with covariate effects which enter linearly. We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for univariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-21 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

We present a mathematical framework and computational methods to optimally design a finite number of sequential experiments. We formulate this sequential optimal experimental design (sOED) problem as a finite-horizon partially observable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-28 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor from prior to posterior odds, is a principled measure of relative evidence for two competing hypotheses. It is naturally suited to sequential data analysis in settings such as clinical trials…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

Longitudinal studies with binary or ordinal responses are widely encountered in various disciplines, where the primary focus is on the temporal evolution of the probability of each response category. Traditional approaches build from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Jizhou Kang , Athanasios Kottas

Cell adhesion experiments are biomechanical experiments studying the binding of a cell to another cell at the level of single molecules. Such a study plays an important role in tumor metastasis in cancer study. Motivated by analyzing a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-10-02 Ying Hung

We propose a novel formalism for describing Structural Causal Models (SCMs) as fixed-point problems on causally ordered variables, eliminating the need for Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs), and establish the weakest known conditions for their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Meyer Scetbon , Joel Jennings , Agrin Hilmkil , Cheng Zhang , Chao Ma

Optimal experimental design (OED) seeks experiments expected to yield the most useful data for some purpose. In practical circumstances where experiments are time-consuming or resource-intensive, OED can yield enormous savings. We pursue…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-30 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

When the infection prevalence of a disease is low, Dorfman showed 80 years ago that testing groups of people can prove more efficient than testing people individually. Our goal in this paper is to propose new group testing algorithms that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-23 Marco Cuturi , Olivier Teboul , Quentin Berthet , Arnaud Doucet , Jean-Philippe Vert

Crossover designs are an extremely useful tool to investigators, whilst group sequential methods have proven highly proficient at improving the efficiency of parallel group trials. Yet, group sequential methods and crossover designs have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-11 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

We obtain the rigorous uniform asymptotics of a particular integral where a stationary point is close to an endpoint. There exists a general method introduced by Bleistein for obtaining uniform asymptotics in this situation. However, this…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2018-04-04 Arran Fernandez , Athanassios S. Fokas , Euan A. Spence

Indolent cancers are characterized by long overall survival (OS) times. Therefore, powering a clinical trial to provide definitive assessment of the effects of an experimental intervention on OS in a reasonable timeframe is generally…

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to conduct the most informative experiment under budget constraints to update the prior knowledge of a system to its posterior from the experimental data in a Bayesian framework. Such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann , Peng Chen

Most classification methods provide either a prediction of class membership or an assessment of class membership probability. In the case of two-group classification the predicted probability can be described as "risk" of belonging to a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-10-28 Yizhar Toren

Clinical trials often involve the assessment of multiple endpoints to comprehensively evaluate the efficacy and safety of interventions. In the work, we consider a global nonparametric testing procedure based on multivariate rank for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Kexuan Li , Lingli Yang , Shaofei Zhao , Susie Sinks , Luan Lin , Peng Sun