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This paper develops risk-averse models to support system operators in planning and operating the electricity grid under uncertainty from renewable power generation. We incorporate financial risk hedging using conditional value at risk…

The valuation of over-the-counter derivatives is subject to a series of valuation adjustments known as xVA, which pose additional risks for financial institutions. Associated risk measures, such as the value-at-risk of an underlying…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-24 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence

We consider market players with tail-risk-seeking behaviour as exemplified by the S-shaped utility introduced by Kahneman and Tversky. We argue that risk measures such as value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are ineffective in…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-01-30 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo

This paper investigates the use of retrospective approximation solution paradigm in solving risk-averse optimization problems effectively via importance sampling (IS). While IS serves as a prominent means for tackling the large sample…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-06-28 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy , Tirtho Sarker

This work proposes a novel risk-perception-aware (RPA) control design using non-rational perception of risks associated with uncertain dynamic spatial costs. We use Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) to model the risk perception of a decision…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-13 Aamodh Suresh , Sonia Martinez

Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their subjective risk-aversion. This paper examines spectral risk measures based on an exponential utility function, and finds…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-03-29 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter

This paper concerns the design of a Fourier based pseudospectral numerical method for the model of European Option Pricing with transaction costs under Exponential Utility derived by Davis, Panas and Zariphopoulou. Computing the option…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-04-19 Javier de Frutos , Victor Gaton

Several authors have recently developed risk-sensitive policy gradient methods that augment the standard expected cost minimization problem with a measure of variability in cost. These studies have focused on specific risk-measures, such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-06-09 Aviv Tamar , Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Shie Mannor

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a leading tail-risk measure in finance, central to both regulatory and portfolio optimization frameworks. Classical estimation of CVaR and its gradients relies on Monte Carlo simulation, incurring…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Vasilis Skarlatos , Nikos Konofaos

Safe navigation for mobile robots demands policies that remain reliable under the high-consequence perception uncertainty of cluttered environments. Yet most existing safe reinforcement learning (RL) methods assess safety through average…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Qisong He , Xinmiao Huang , Jinwei Hu , Zhuoyun Li , Yi Dong , Changshun Wu , Xiaowei Huang

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-19 Jing Li , Mingxin Xu

We consider a class of risk-averse submodular maximization problems (RASM) where the objective is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of a random nondecreasing submodular function at a given risk level. We propose valid inequalities and an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-17 Hao-Hsiang Wu , Simge Kucukyavuz

Expected Shortfall (ES, also known as CVaR) is the most important coherent risk measure in finance, insurance, risk management, and engineering. Recently, Wang and Zitikis (2021) put forward four economic axioms for portfolio risk…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-05 Xia Han , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

We introduce two quantum algorithms to compute the Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) of financial derivatives using quantum computers: the first by applying existing ideas from quantum risk analysis to derivative…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-04-17 Nikitas Stamatopoulos , B. David Clader , Stefan Woerner , William J. Zeng

We present a heuristic policy and performance bound for risk-sensitive convex stochastic control that generalizes linear-exponential-quadratic regulator (LEQR) theory. Our heuristic policy extends standard, risk-neutral model predictive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-30 Nicholas Moehle

The Pickands estimator for the extreme value index is beneficial due to its universal consistency, location, and scale invariance, which sets it apart from other types of estimators. However, similar to many extreme value index estimators,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-29 Yizhou Li , Pawel Polak

This paper introduces the notions of stability, ultimate boundedness, and positive invariance for stochastic systems in the view of risk. More specifically, those notions are defined in terms of the worst-case Conditional Value-at-Risk…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-29 Masako Kishida

The problem of finding the optimal portfolio for investors is called the portfolio optimization problem. Such problem mainly concerns the expectation and variability of return (i.e., mean and variance). Although the variance would be the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-21 Kei Nakagawa , Shuhei Noma , Masaya Abe

Humans have the ability to deviate from their natural behavior when necessary, which is a cognitive process called response inhibition. Similar approaches have independently received increasing attention in recent years for ensuring the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-04 Armin Lederer , Erfaun Noorani , John S. Baras , Sandra Hirche

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk metric in applications such as finance. We derive concentration bounds for CVaR estimates, considering separately the cases of light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions. In the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-27 Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan , Ravi Kumar Kolla