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相关论文: Predicting Drought and Subsidence Risks in France

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The scarcity of water characterising drylands forces vegetation to adopt appropriate survival strategies. Some of these generate water-vegetation feedback mechanisms that can lead to spatial self-organisation of vegetation, as it has been…

生物物理 · 物理学 2013-08-30 John Realpe-Gomez , Mara Baudena , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane , Max Rietkerk

Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of high-resolution climate simulations, particularly for…

This paper proposes a public-private insurance scheme for earthquakes and floods in Italy in which property-owners, the insurer and the government co-operate in risk financing. Our model departs from the existing literature by describing a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-11 Selene Perazzini , Giorgio Stefano Gnecco , Fabio Pammolli

The economic impacts of climate change are highly uncertain. Two of the most important uncertainties are the sensitivity of the climate system and the so-called damage functions, which relate climate change to economic damages and benefits.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-08-24 Jenny Bjordal , Trude Storelvmo , Anthony A. Smith

Intense precipitation events are commonly known to be associated with an increased risk of flooding. As a result of the societal and infrastructural risks linked with flooding, extremes of precipitation require careful modelling. Extreme…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-06 Paul Sharkey , Hugo C. Winter

Droughts, with their increasing frequency of occurrence, continue to negatively affect livelihoods and elements at risk. For example, the 2011 in drought in east Africa has caused massive losses document to have cost the Kenyan economy over…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Chrisgone Adede , Robert Oboko , Peter Wagacha , Clement Atzberger

This paper investigates the impacts of climate change on groundwater droughts making use of regional projections and standardized indices: the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-10 D. Secci , M. G. Tanda , M. D Oria , V. Todaro , C. Fagandini

The temperature targets in the Paris Agreement cannot be met without very rapid reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. The latter requires large, perhaps prohibitively large subsidies. The…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-05 Richard S. J. Tol

We analyze the French housing market prices in the period 1970-2022, with high-resolution data from 2018 to 2022. The spatial correlation of the observed price field exhibits logarithmic decay characteristic of the two-dimensional random…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-03-28 Antoine-Cyrus Becharat , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Chikungunya is an emerging threat for health security all over the world which is spreading very fast. Researches for proper forecasting of the incidence rate of chikungunya has been going on in many places in which DARPA has done a very…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-12 Sayed Erfan Arefin , Tasnia Ashrafi Heya , Dr Moinul Zaber

Climate change and increases in drought conditions affect the lives of many and are closely tied to global agricultural output and livestock production. This research presents a novel approach utilizing machine learning frameworks for…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-02 Veronica Wairimu Muriga , Benjamin Rich , Francesco Mauro , Alessandro Sebastianelli , Silvia Liberata Ullo

Soil moisture is an important variable that determines floods, vegetation health, agriculture productivity, and land surface feedbacks to the atmosphere, etc. Accurately modeling soil moisture has important implications in both weather and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Kuai Fang , Chaopeng Shen , Daniel Kifer

Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-07-06 John Nay

Extreme events are the major weather-related hazard for humanity. It is then of crucial importance to have a good understanding of their statistics and to be able to forecast them. However, lack of sufficient data makes their study…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-13 Valeria Mascolo , Alessandro Lovo , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

The agricultural sector is particularly susceptible to the impact of climate change. In this paper, I investigate how vulnerability to climate change affects U.S. farms' credit access, and demonstrates that such impact is unequally…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-01 Teng Liu

Sea-level rise and associated flood hazards pose severe risks to the millions of people globally living in coastal zones. Models representing coastal adaptation and impacts are important tools to inform the design of strategies to manage…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Tony E. Wong , Catherine Ledna , Lisa Rennels , Hannah Sheets , Frank C. Errickson , Delavane Diaz , David Anthoff

This paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment model for power distribution networks with a focus on the influence of climate conditions and vegetation management on outage risks. Using a dataset comprising outage records,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-13 Di Zhao , Umar Salman , Zongjie Wang

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

: One of the prominent challenges being faced by agricultural sciences is the onset of climate change which is adversely affecting every aspect of cropping. Modelling of climate change at macro level have been carried out at large scale and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Abhishek Singh , Aaditya Jadhav , Abha Goyal , Jesma V , Vyshna I C

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2019. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-23 Piergiorgio Alessandri , Haroon Mumtaz