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We introduce a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) methodology based on a randomized selection of integration times, referred to as eHMC, where "e" stands for empirical. The approach relies on an offline calibration phase that leverages…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Changye Wu , Pierre Pudlo , Christian P. Robert , Julien Stoehr

Various Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are studied to improve upon random walk Metropolis sampling, for simulation from complex distributions. Examples include Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an efficient Bayesian sampling method that can make distant proposals in the parameter space by simulating a Hamiltonian dynamical system. Despite its popularity in machine learning and data science, HMC is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-02 Ziming Liu , Zheng Zhang

Importance sampling (IS) is valuable in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo sampling for many areas, including finance, rare event simulation, and Bayesian inference. It is natural and obvious to combine quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-07-21 Zhijian He , Zhan Zheng , Xiaoqun Wang

A randomized time integrator is suggested for unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (uHMC) which involves a very minor modification to the usual Verlet time integrator, and hence, is easy to implement. For target distributions of the form…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-03 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Milo Marsden

Gaussian Process (GPs) models are a rich distribution over functions with inductive biases controlled by a kernel function. Learning occurs through the optimisation of kernel hyperparameters using the marginal likelihood as the objective.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Fergus Simpson , Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We empirically evaluate a stochastic annealing strategy for Bayesian posterior optimization with variational inference. Variational inference is a deterministic approach to approximate posterior inference in Bayesian models in which a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-05-26 San Gultekin , Aonan Zhang , John Paisley

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models offer a rich framework for model based clustering. We consider the situation where the kernel of the mixture is available only up to an intractable normalizing constant. In this case, most of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Mario Beraha , Riccardo Corradin

Bayesian model selection enables comparison and ranking of conceptual subsurface models described by spatial prior models, according to the support provided by available geophysical data. Deep generative neural networks can efficiently…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-05-19 M. Amaya , N. Linde , E. Laloy

Hierarchical models represent a challenging setting for inference algorithms. MCMC methods struggle to scale to large models with many local variables and observations, and variational inference (VI) may fail to provide accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-27 Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

Variational inference methods have been shown to lead to significant improvements in the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian inference in mixed multinomial logit models when compared to standard Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Filipe Rodrigues

Differentiable annealed importance sampling (DAIS), proposed by Geffner & Domke (2021) and Zhang et al. (2021), allows optimizing over the initial distribution of AIS. In this paper, we show that, in the limit of many transitions, DAIS…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Johannes Zenn , Robert Bamler

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) samples efficiently from high-dimensional posterior distributions with proposed parameter draws obtained by iterating on a discretized version of the Hamiltonian dynamics. The iterations make HMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-03 Khue-Dung Dang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Mattias Villani

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful tool for Bayesian statistical inference due to its potential to rapidly explore high dimensional state space, avoiding the random walk behavior typical of many Markov Chain Monte Carlo samplers.…

The inefficiency of using an unbiased estimator in a Monte Carlo procedure can be quantified using an inefficiency constant, equal to the product of the variance of the estimator and its mean computational cost. We develop methods for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-08 Tomasz Badowski

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has been progressively incorporated within the statistician's toolbox as an alternative sampling method in settings when standard Metropolis-Hastings is inefficient. HMC generates a Markov chain on an augmented…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Julien Stoehr , Alan Benson , Nial Friel

This paper focuses on a challenging class of inverse problems that is often encountered in applications. The forward model is a complex non-linear black-box, potentially non-injective, whose outputs cover multiple decades in amplitude.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-11 Pierre Palud , Pierre-Antoine Thouvenin , Pierre Chainais , Emeric Bron , Franck Le Petit

Autocorrelations in MCMC chains increase the variance of the estimators they produce. We propose the occlusion process to mitigate this problem. It is a process that sits upon an existing MCMC sampler, and occasionally replaces its samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Max Hird , Florian Maire