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Probabilistic models based on Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBMs) imply the evaluation of normalized Boltzmann factors, which in turn require from the evaluation of the partition function Z. The exact evaluation of Z, though, becomes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-24 Ferran Mazzanti , Enrique Romero

In Part I (arXiv:1911.00619) of this article, we proposed an importance sampling algorithm to compute rare-event probabilities in forward uncertainty quantification problems. The algorithm, which we termed the "Bayesian Inverse Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-06 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for $n$ observations is estimated from a random subset of $m$ observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-31 Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from an unnormalized probability distribution. A leapfrog integrator is commonly used to implement HMC in practice, but its performance can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Marcel Hirt , Michalis K. Titsias , Petros Dellaportas

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) methods provide a useful alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for performing inference of intractable distributions. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) algorithms constitute a family of AIS…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-13 Soumyasundar Pal , Antonios Valkanas , Mark Coates

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for performing approximate inference in complex probabilistic models of continuous variables. In common with many MCMC methods, however, the standard HMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

We propose a novel approximate inference algorithm that approximates a target distribution by amortising the dynamics of a user-selected MCMC sampler. The idea is to initialise MCMC using samples from an approximation network, apply the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-23 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner , Qiang Liu

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to continuous un-normalized probability distributions. MCMC estimators typically have higher variance than…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-04 Dan Piponi , Matthew D. Hoffman , Pavel Sountsov

We consider importance sampling (IS) type weighted estimators based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) targeting an approximate marginal of the target distribution. In the context of Bayesian latent variable models, the MCMC typically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Matti Vihola , Jouni Helske , Jordan Franks

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are a rising methodology in signal processing, statistics, and machine learning. An effective adaptation of the proposals is key for the success of AIS. Recent works have shown that gradient…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-27 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux , O. Deniz Akyildiz

Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-17 Yichuan Zhang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Traditionally, the field of computational Bayesian statistics has been divided into two main subfields: variational methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). In recent years, however, several methods have been proposed based on combining…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

Bayesian inference in the presence of an intractable likelihood function is computationally challenging. When following a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to approximate the posterior distribution in this context, one typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-03 Johan Alenlöv , Arnaud Doucet , Fredrik Lindsten

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) moves particles along a Markov chain from a tractable initial distribution to an intractable target distribution. The recently proposed Differentiable AIS (DAIS) (Geffner and Domke, 2021; Zhang et al.,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-28 Johannes Zenn , Robert Bamler

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state of the art method for sampling from distributions with differentiable densities, but can converge slowly when applied to challenging multimodal problems. Running HMC with a time varying Hamiltonian,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak , Dries Sels

We introduce an extension to annealed importance sampling that uses Hamiltonian dynamics to rapidly estimate normalization constants. We demonstrate this method by computing log likelihoods in directed and undirected probabilistic image…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-05-10 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Benjamin J. Culpepper

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has been widely adopted in the statistics community because of its ability to sample high-dimensional distributions much more efficiently than other Metropolis-based methods. Despite this, HMC often performs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Arya A. Pourzanjani , Linda R. Petzold

With the recently increased interest in probabilistic models, the efficiency of an underlying sampler becomes a crucial consideration. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is one popular option for models of this kind. Performance of the method,…

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inference when the likelihood is analytically intractable but can be unbiasedly estimated. We propose an annealed importance sampling procedure for estimating expectations with respect to the posterior.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-26 M. -N. Tran , C. Strickland , M. K. Pitt , R. Kohn

In Bayesian inverse problems sampling the posterior distribution is often a challenging task when the underlying models are computationally intensive. To this end, surrogates or reduced models are often used to accelerate the computation.…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-04 Qifeng Liao , Jinglai Li