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相关论文: A New Shape of Extremal Clusters For Certain Stati…

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We study clustering of the extremes in a stationary sequence with subexponential tails in the maximum domain of attraction of the Gumbel We obtain functional limit theorems in the space of random sup-measures and in the space $D(0,\infty)$.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-12 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We investigate a family of discrete-time stationary processes defined by multiple stable integrals and renewal processes with infinite means. The model may exhibit behaviors of short-range or long-range dependence, respectively, depending…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-29 Shuyang Bai , Yizao Wang

We consider stationary sequences whose marginal tail is subexponential and lies in the Gumbel Maximum domain of attraction. Due to the extremely strong dependence, their extreme values are caused by multiple big values and are clustered in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-08 Zao-Li Chen

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

We consider the clustering of extremes for stationary regularly varying random fields over arbitrary growing index sets. We study sufficient assumptions on the index set such that the limit of the point random fields of the exceedances…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-23 Riccardo Passeggeri , Olivier Wintenberger

We consider a stationary random field indexed by an increasing sequence of subsets of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ obeying a very broad geometrical assumption on how the sequence expands. Under certain mixing and local conditions, we show how the tail…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-19 Anders Rønn-Nielsen , Mads Stehr

How do large deviation events in a stationary process cluster? The answer depends not only on the type of large deviations, but also on the length of memory in the process. Somewhat unexpectedly, it may also depend on the tails of the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-13 Jiaqi Wang , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We re-consider Leadbetter's extremal index for stationary sequences. It has interpretation as reciprocal of the expected size of an extremal cluster above high thresholds. We focus on heavy-tailed time series, in particular on regularly…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-10 Gloria Buriticá , Meyer Nicolas , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

The stable-regenerative multiple-stable model has been shown recently to have distinct candidate extremal index and extremal index. To understand further this rare phenomenon, two more results are established here for the double-stable…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Shuyang Bai , Rafał Kulik , Yizao Wang

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

An asymptotic model for extreme behavior of certain Markov chains is the "tail chain". Generally taking the form of a multiplicative random walk, it is useful in deriving extremal characteristics such as point process limits. We place this…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-30 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

We investigate weak convergence of renewal shot noise processes in the case of slowly varying tails of the inter-shot times. We show that these processes, after an appropriate non-linear scaling, converge in the sense of finite-dimensional…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-10 Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych

A network evolution with predicted tail and extremal indices of PageRank and the Max-Linear Model used as node influence indices in random graphs is considered. The tail index shows a heaviness of the distribution tail. The extremal index…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-28 Natalia Markovich

We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung

The tail process $\boldsymbol{Y}=(Y_{\boldsymbol{i}})_{\boldsymbol{i}\in\mathbb{Z}^d}$ of a stationary regularly varying random field $\boldsymbol{X}=(X_{\boldsymbol{i}})_{\boldsymbol{i}\in\mathbb{Z}^d}$ represents the asymptotic local…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-15 Hrvoje Planinić

We consider a last progeny modified branching random walk, in which the position of each particle at the last generation $n$ is modified by an i.i.d. copy of a random variable $Y$. Depending on the asymptotic properties of the tail of $Y$,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Partha Pratim Ghosh , Bastien Mallein
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