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There is a growing interest in the literature for adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo methods based on sequences of random transition kernels $\{P_n\}$ where the kernel $P_n$ is allowed to have an invariant distribution $\pi_n$ not…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-10-18 Yves F. Atchadé

Unnormalized probability distributions are central to modeling complex physical systems across various scientific domains. Traditional sampling methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), often suffer from slow convergence, critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Vikas Kanaujia , Vipul Arora

We give the first sample complexity characterizations for outcome indistinguishability, a theoretical framework of machine learning recently introduced by Dwork, Kim, Reingold, Rothblum, and Yona (STOC 2021). In outcome…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-10 Lunjia Hu , Charlotte Peale , Omer Reingold

Ordered sequences of univariate or multivariate regressions provide statistical models for analysing data from randomized, possibly sequential interventions, from cohort or multi-wave panel studies, but also from cross-sectional or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Nanny Wermuth , Kayvan Sadeghi

The problem of learning a correspondence relationship between nodes of two networks has drawn much attention of the computer science community and recently that of statisticians. The unseeded version of this problem, in which we do not know…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-24 Yuan Zhang

Testing between hypotheses, when independent sampling is possible, is a well developed subject. In this paper, we propose hypothesis tests that are applicable when the samples are obtained using Markov chain Monte Carlo. These tests are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-14 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin

Learning the undirected graph structure of a Markov network from data is a problem that has received a lot of attention during the last few decades. As a result of the general applicability of the model class, a myriad of methods have been…

In this paper, we propose the first exact Markov model for connection blocking analysis in elastic optical networks, based on the occupancy status of spectrum slices on all links due to arrivals and departures of various classes of…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2018-06-05 Sandeep Kumar Singh , Admela Jukan

In a first part, we prove Bernstein-type deviation inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) under a geometric ergodicity assumption, completing former results of Guyon and Bitseki Penda, Djellout and Guillin. These preliminary…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-11 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

In this work, we consider an inhomogeneous (discrete time) Markov chain and are interested in its long time behavior. We provide sufficient conditions to ensure that some of its asymptotic properties can be related to the ones of a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-09 Michel Benaïm , Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

This paper proposes a new probabilistic classification algorithm using a Markov random field approach. The joint distribution of class labels is explicitly modelled using the distances between feature vectors. Intuitively, a class label…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-06-02 Nial Friel , Anthony N. Pettitt

We investigate the statistical complexity of estimating the parameters of a discrete-state Markov chain kernel from a single long sequence of state observations. In the finite case, we characterize (modulo logarithmic factors) the minimax…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

This paper deals with chain graphs under the Andersson-Madigan-Perlman (AMP) interpretation. In particular, we present a constraint based algorithm for learning an AMP chain graph a given probability distribution is faithful to. Moreover,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-20 Jose M. Peña

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are used to estimate features of interest of a distribution. The Monte Carlo error in estimation has an asymptotic normal distribution whose multivariate nature has so far been ignored in the MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-05 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

We consider a system of $N$ particles interacting through their empirical distribution on a finite state space in continuous time. In the formal limit as $N\to\infty$, the system takes the form of a nonlinear (McKean--Vlasov) Markov chain.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-13 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Huffman

This paper presents a new approach to statistical similarity assessment based on sequence alignment. The algorithm performs mutual matching of two random sequences by successively searching for common elements and by applying sequence…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-09 Jakub Nikonowicz , Łukasz Matuszewski , Paweł Kubczak

Recent work has shown that the performance of machine learning models can vary substantially when models are evaluated on data drawn from a distribution that is close to but different from the training distribution. As a result, predicting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Devin Guillory , Vaishaal Shankar , Sayna Ebrahimi , Trevor Darrell , Ludwig Schmidt

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce dependent streams of variates drawn from the limiting distribution of the Markov chain. With this as motivation, we introduce novel univariate kernel density estimators which are appropriate for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-29 Hang J. Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

The performance of mobile ad hoc networks in general and that of the routing algorithm, in particular, can be heavily affected by the intrinsic dynamic nature of the underlying topology. In this paper, we build a new analytical/numerical…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2018-11-09 Arta Cika , Mihai-Alin Badiu , Justin P. Coon