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In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

Survival competing risks models are very useful for studying the incidence of diseases whose occurrence competes with other possible diseases or health conditions. These models perform properly when working with terminal events, such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-09 Fran Llopis-Cardona , Carmen Armero , Gabriel Sanfélix-Gimeno

Hundreds of millions of people live in countries that do not have complete death registration systems, meaning that most deaths are not recorded and critical quantities like life expectancy cannot be directly measured. The sibling survival…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-01 Dennis M. Feehan , Gabriel M. Borges

We address causal estimation in semi-competing risks settings, where a non-terminal event may be precluded by one or more terminal events. We define a principal-stratification causal estimand for treatment effects on the non-terminal event,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Karina Gelis-Cadena , Michael Daniels , Juned Siddique

\noindent The modal age at death is an increasingly used measure for understanding longevity and mortality patterns. However, existing estimation methods focus on point estimates, overlooking the inherent variability and uncertainty in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Silvio C. Patricio , Paola Vazquez-Castillo

This article proposes an age-structured compartment model for irreversible diseases with a pre-clinical state of undiagnosed cases that precedes the diagnosis. The model is able to cope with mortality rates differing between the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-11-11 Ralph Brinks

In clinical trials with recurrent events, such as repeated hospitalizations terminating with death, it is important to consider the patient events overall history for a thorough assessment of treatment effects. The occurrence of fewer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-08 Alessandra Ragni , Torben Martinussen , Thomas Scheike

Age-specific probabilities of death provide a snapshot of population mortality at the country level at a given point in time. Due to the high dimensionality of the data, summarising mortality information is essential for various analyses,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Pedro Menezes de Araújo , Isobel Claire Gormley , Thomas Brendan Murphy

A fundamental concept in two-arm non-parametric survival analysis is the comparison of observed versus expected numbers of events on one of the treatment arms (the choice of which arm is arbitrary), where the expectation is taken assuming…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Dominic Magirr

In survival analysis it often happens that some subjects under study do not experience the event of interest; they are considered to be `cured'. The population is thus a mixture of two subpopulations: the one of cured subjects, and the one…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-16 Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

This study presents a framework for high-resolution mortality simulations tailored to insured and general populations. Due to the scarcity of detailed demographic-specific mortality data, we leverage Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-04-18 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson

Relative survival methodology deals with a competing risks survival model where the cause of death is unknown. This lack of information occurs regularly in population-based cancer studies. Non-parametric estimation of the net survival is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-14 Oskar Laverny , Nathalie Grafféo , Roch Giorgi

Comparing the survival times among two groups is a common problem in time-to-event analysis, for example if one would like to understand whether one medical treatment is superior to another. In the standard survival analysis setting, there…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-07 Dennis Dobler , Eni Musta

Representative risk estimation is fundamental to clinical decision-making. However, risks are often estimated from non-representative epidemiologic studies, which usually underrepresent minorities. "Model-based" methods use population…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Lingxiao Wang , Yan Li , Barry I. Graubard , Hormuzd A. Katki

With known cause of death (CoD), competing risk survival methods are applicable in estimating disease-specific survival. Relative survival analysis may be used to estimate disease-specific survival when cause of death is either unknown or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Reuben Adatorwovor , Aurelien Latouche , Jason P. Fine

In this paper we introduce a mixture cure model with a linear hazard rate regression model for the event times. Cure models are statistical models for event times that take into account that a fraction of the population might never…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-26 Emil Aas Stoltenberg

The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-28 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann , Stefan Pilz

As populations age, the rise of multimorbidity poses a significant healthcare challenge. However, our ability to quantitatively forecast the progression of multimorbidity remains limited. Leveraging a nationwide dataset comprising…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-29 Katharina Ledebur , Alexandra Kautzky-Willer , Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek