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Confidence sequences are collections of confidence regions that simultaneously cover the true parameter for every sample size at a prescribed confidence level. Tightening these sequences is of practical interest and can be achieved by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Stefano Cortinovis , Valentin Kilian , François Caron

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) plays an important role in the analysis of parameter inference and system design problems. In a number of cases, however, the statistical data distribution and its associated information matrix are either…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-24 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Maximum likelihood estimates and corresponding confidence regions of the estimates are commonly used in statistical inference. In practice, people often construct approximate confidence regions with the Fisher information at given sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-13 Sihang Jiang

In a linear regression model of fixed dimension $p \leq n$, we construct confidence regions for the unknown parameter vector based on the Lasso estimator that uniformly and exactly hold the prescribed in finite samples as well as in an…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-08 Karl Ewald , Ulrike Schneider

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

Confidence intervals are central to statistical inference as a tool to evaluate the type I error risk at a given significance level. We devise a method to construct confidence intervals using a single run of a permutation test. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

The general problem of constructing confidence regions is unsolved in the sense that there is no algorithm that provides such a region with guaranteed coverage for an arbitrary parameter $\psi\in\Psi.$ Moreover, even when such a region…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-14 Michael Evans , Miaoshiqi Liu , Michael Moon , Sabrina Sixta , Siyi Wei , Siyue Yang

We will construct a confidence region of parameters for a sample of size $N$ from Cauchy distributed random variables. Although Cauchy distribution has two parameters, a location parameter $\mu \in \mathbb{R}$ and a scale parameter $\sigma…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-18 Yuichi Akaoka , Kazuki Okamura , Yoshiki Otobe

In statistical and nonlinear systems, two qualitatively distinct parameter regions are typically identified: the regular region, characterized by smooth behavior of key quantities, and the critical region, where these quantities exhibit…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-04-01 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $\chi^2$, as…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-25 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

We introduce a new framework for creating point-wise confidence intervals for the distribution of event times for current status data. Existing methods are based on asymptotics. Our framework is based on binomial properties and motivates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Sungwook Kim , Michael P. Fay , Michael A. Proschan

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

An advantage of methods that base inference on a posterior distribution is that credible regions are readily obtained. Except in well-specified situations, however, there is no guarantee that such regions will achieve the nominal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-28 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Using the mathematical framework of information geometry, we introduce a novel method which allows one to efficiently determine the exact shape of simultaneous confidence regions for non-linearly parametrised models. Furthermore, we show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Rafael Arutjunjan , Bjoern Malte Schaefer , Clemens Kreutz

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

Linear mixed models are widely used to analyze non-independent data, but inference for fixed effects can be unreliable under misspecification of the random-effects distribution, inaccurate Fisher information estimation, or convergence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Angela Andreella , Livio Finos

Measurements are generally collected as unilateral or bilateral data in clinical trials or observational studies. For example, in ophthalmology studies, the primary outcome is often obtained from one eye or both eyes of an individual. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-01 Kejia Wang , Chang-Xing Ma