English

On Some Problems of Confidence Region Construction

Statistics Theory 2021-09-14 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

The general problem of constructing confidence regions is unsolved in the sense that there is no algorithm that provides such a region with guaranteed coverage for an arbitrary parameter ψΨ.\psi\in\Psi. Moreover, even when such a region exists, it may be absurd in the sense that either the set Ψ\Psi or the null set ϕ\phi is reported with positive probability. An approach to the construction of such regions with guaranteed coverage and which avoids absurdity is applied here to several problems that have been discussed in the recent literature and for which some standard approaches produce absurd regions.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.05332,
  title  = {On Some Problems of Confidence Region Construction},
  author = {Michael Evans and Miaoshiqi Liu and Michael Moon and Sabrina Sixta and Siyi Wei and Siyue Yang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.05332},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

23 pages, 7 figures, 7 tables

R2 v1 2026-06-24T05:53:04.216Z