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In this paper, we derive an explicit formula for constructing the confidence interval of binomial parameter with guaranteed coverage probability. The formula overcomes the limitation of normal approximation which is asymptotic in nature and…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ be some i.i.d. observations from a heavy tailed distribution $F$, i.e. such that the common distribution of the excesses over a high threshold $u_n$ can be approximated by a Generalized Pareto Distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-23 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

In confirmatory clinical trials with small sample sizes, hypothesis tests based on asymptotic distributions are often not valid and exact non-parametric procedures are applied instead. However, the latter are based on discrete test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Robin Ristl , Dong Xi , Ekkehard Glimm , Martin Posch

In this paper we offer a unified approach to the problem of nonparametric regression on the unit interval. It is based on a universal, honest and non-asymptotic confidence region which is defined by a set of linear inequalities involving…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-11-06 P. L. Davies , A. Kovac , M. Meise

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-16 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

The mean of an unknown variance-$\sigma^2$ distribution $f$ can be estimated from $n$ samples with variance $\frac{\sigma^2}{n}$ and nearly corresponding subgaussian rate. When $f$ is known up to translation, this can be improved…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-30 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price

This paper considers the distributed computation of confidence regions tethered to multidimensional parameter estimation under linear measurement models. In particular, the considered confidence regions are non-asymptotic, this meaning that…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-10-01 Vincenzo Zambianchi , Michel Kieffer , Gianni Pasolini , Francesca Bassi , Davide Dardari

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

Many statistical hypotheses can be formulated in terms of polynomial equalities and inequalities in the unknown parameters and thus correspond to semi-algebraic subsets of the parameter space. We consider large sample asymptotics for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-03 Mathias Drton

We consider approximate Bayesian model choice for model selection problems that involve models whose Fisher-information matrices may fail to be invertible along other competing submodels. Such singular models do not obey the regularity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-24 Mathias Drton , Martyn Plummer

We study distribution-free predictive inference for data with group symmetries, aiming to establish near-conditional coverage guarantees beyond exchangeability for structured data. While many predictive inference methods achieve a target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yichen Shen , Mengxin Yu

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

We introduce a new kind of quantum measurement that is defined to be symmetric in the sense of uniform Fisher information across a set of parameters that injectively represent pure quantum states in the neighborhood of a fiducial pure…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-05-11 Nan Li , Christopher Ferrie , Jonathan A. Gross , Amir Kalev , Carlton M. Caves

The asymptotic behaviour of the commonly used bootstrap percentile confidence interval is investigated when the parameters are subject to linear inequality constraints. We concentrate on the important one- and two-sample problems with data…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-06 Chunlin Wang , Paul Marriott , Pengfei Li

We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

This paper introduces a likelihood ratio (LR)-type test that possesses the robustness properties of \(C(\alpha)\)-type procedures in an extremum estimation setting. The test statistic is constructed by applying separate adjustments to the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Jean-Marie Dufour , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj