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We employ uncertain parametric CTMCs with parametric transition rates and a prior on the parameter values. The prior encodes uncertainty about the actual transition rates, while the parameters allow dependencies between transition rates.…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Matthias Volk

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

The quality of numerical reconstructions for unknown parameters in inverse problems depends fundamentally on the selection of experimental data. To ensure a robust reconstruction, it is crucial to select data that are sensitive to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-14 Kathrin Hellmuth , Christian Klingenberg , Qin Li

Although Shannon mutual information has been widely used, its effective calculation is often difficult for many practical problems, including those in neural population coding. Asymptotic formulas based on Fisher information sometimes…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Wentao Huang , Kechen Zhang

Motivated by parametric models for which the likelihood is analytically unavailable, numerically unstable, or prohibitively expensive to compute or optimize, we develop a prior- and likelihood-free framework for fully probabilistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Leonardo Cella , Emily C. Hector

We introduce a generic class of dynamic nonlinear heterogeneous parameter models that incorporate individual and time fixed effects in both the intercept and slope. These models are subject to the incidental parameter problem, in that the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-27 Xuan Leng , Jiaming Mao , Yutao Sun

A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-10 Ali Al-Sharadqah , Majid Mojirsheibani

Quantifying uncertainty using confidence regions is a central goal of statistical inference. Despite this, methodologies for confidence bands in Functional Data Analysis are still underdeveloped compared to estimation and hypothesis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Dominik Liebl , Matthew Reimherr

Computing size and credibility of Bayesian credible regions for certifying the reliability of any point estimator of an unknown parameter (such as a quantum state, channel, phase, \emph{etc.}) relies on rejection sampling from the entire…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-07-31 C. Oh , Y. S. Teo , H. Jeong

We define a mixed topology on the fiber space $\cup_\mu \oplus^n L^n(\mu)$ over the space $\mathcal{M}(\Omega)$ of all finite non-negative measures $\mu$ on a separable metric space $\Omega$ provided with Borel $\sigma$-algebra. We define a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-26 Hông Vân Lê

We introduce uncertainty regions to perform inference on partial correlations when data are missing not at random. These uncertainty regions are shown to have a desired asymptotic coverage. Their finite sample performance is illustrated via…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-08 Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

Hypothesis testing methods that do not rely on exact distribution assumptions have been emerging lately. The method of sign-perturbed sums (SPS) is capable of characterizing confidence regions with exact confidence levels for linear…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-07-03 Sándor Kolumbán , István Vajk , Johan Schoukens

Many experiments can be interpreted in terms of random processes operating according to some internal protocols. When experiments are costly or cannot be repeated only one or a few finite samples are available. In this paper we study data…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-02-02 Marian Kupczynski , Hans De Raedt

Most asymptotic results for robust estimates rely on regularity conditions that are difficult to verify in practice. Moreover, these results apply to fixed distribution functions. In the robustness context the distribution of the data…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Matias Salibian-Barrera , Ruben H. Zamar

Stochastic variational inequalities (SVI) model a large class of equilibrium problems subject to data uncertainty, and are closely related to stochastic optimization problems. The SVI solution is usually estimated by a solution to a sample…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-06-27 Shu Lu

Background: When developing a clinical prediction model using time-to-event data, previous research focuses on the sample size to minimise overfitting and precisely estimate the overall risk. However, instability of individual-level risk…

The analysis of excursion sets in imaging data is essential to a wide range of scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology and cosmology. Despite growing literature, there is little published concerning the comparison of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Thomas Maullin-Sapey , Armin Schwartzman , Thomas E. Nichols

We study the statistical geometry of random chords on n-dimensional spheres by deriving explicit analytical expressions for the chord length distribution and its associated structural properties. A critical threshold emerges at dimension…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Masoud Ataei

We present a universal framework for constructing confidence sets based on sequential likelihood mixing. Building upon classical results from sequential analysis, we provide a unifying perspective on several recent lines of work, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Johannes Kirschner , Andreas Krause , Michele Meziu , Mojmir Mutny
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