English

Breakdown of statistical inference from some random experiments

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2016-02-02 v4 Quantum Physics Methodology

Abstract

Many experiments can be interpreted in terms of random processes operating according to some internal protocols. When experiments are costly or cannot be repeated only one or a few finite samples are available. In this paper we study data generated by pseudo-random computer experiments operating according to particular internal protocols. We show that the standard statistical analysis performed on a sample, containing 100000 data points or more, may sometimes be highly misleading and statistical errors largely underestimated. Our results confirm in a dramatic way the dangers of standard asymptotic statistical inference if a sample is not homogenous. We demonstrate that analyzing various subdivisions of samples by multiple chi-square tests and chi-square frequency graphs is very effective in detecting sample inhomogeneity. Therefore to assure correctness of the statistical inference the above mentioned chi-square tests and other non-parametric sample homogeneity tests should be incorporated in any statistical analysis of experimental data. If such tests are not performed the reported conclusions and estimates of the errors cannot be trusted.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1410.7424,
  title  = {Breakdown of statistical inference from some random experiments},
  author = {Marian Kupczynski and Hans De Raedt},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1410.7424},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

Accepted for publication in Computer Physics Communications

R2 v1 2026-06-22T06:37:51.144Z