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Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) consist of a sequence of decision rules, one per stage of intervention, that finds effective treatments for individual patients according to patient information history. DTRs can be estimated from models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sahir Bhatnagar

Experimentation is widely utilized for causal inference and data-driven decision-making across disciplines. In an A/B experiment, for example, an online business randomizes two different treatments (e.g., website designs) to their customers…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-15 Wenxuan Guo , JungHo Lee , Panos Toulis

Researchers are increasingly turning to machine learning (ML) algorithms to investigate causal heterogeneity in randomized experiments. Despite their promise, ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

This paper studies inference in cluster randomized trials where treatment status is determined according to a "matched pairs" design. Here, by a cluster randomized experiment, we mean one in which treatment is assigned at the level of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-14 Yuehao Bai , Jizhou Liu , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

Platform trials can evaluate the efficacy of several treatments compared to a control. The number of treatments is not fixed, as arms may be added or removed as the trial progresses. Platform trials are more efficient than independent…

Platform trials evaluate the efficacy of multiple treatments, allowing for late entry of the experimental arms and enabling efficiency gains by sharing controls. The power of individual treatment-control comparisons in such trials can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Pavla Krotka , Katharina Hees , Peter Jacko , Dominic Magirr , Martin Posch , Marta Bofill Roig

This paper investigates decision-making in A/B experiments for online platforms and marketplaces. In such settings, due to constraints on inventory, A/B experiments typically lead to biased estimators because of *interference* between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Ramesh Johari , Hannah Li , Anushka Murthy , Gabriel Y. Weintraub

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of decision rules in which each decision rule recommends treatment based on features of patient medical history such as past treatments and outcomes. Existing methods for estimating optimal dynamic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-22 Kristin A. Linn , Eric B. Laber , Leonard A. Stefanski

This paper introduces an overidentification test of two alternative assumptions to identify the average treatment effect on the treated in a two-period panel data setting: unconfoundedness and common trends. Under the unconfoundedness…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-25 Martin Huber , Eva-Maria Oeß

When planning to change operations at ports there are two key stake holders with very different interests involved in the decision making processes. Port operators are attentive to their standards, a smooth service flow and economic…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2013-07-03 Peer-Olaf Siebers , Galina Sherman , Uwe Aickelin , David Menachof

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

There has been significant attention given to developing data-driven methods for tailoring patient care based on individual patient characteristics. Dynamic treatment regimes formalize this through a sequence of decision rules that map…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Eric J. Rose , Erica E. M. Moodie , Susan Shortreed

Evaluating the value of new clinical treatment rules based on patient characteristics is important but often complicated by hidden confounding factors in observational studies. Standard methods for estimating the average patient outcome if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Johannes Hruza , Erin Gabriel , Arvid Sjölander , Samir Bhatt , Michael Sachs

A large-scale industrial recommendation platform typically consists of multiple associated scenarios, requiring a unified click-through rate (CTR) prediction model to serve them simultaneously. Existing approaches for multi-scenario CTR…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-06-26 Xing Tang , Yang Qiao , Yuwen Fu , Fuyuan Lyu , Dugang Liu , Xiuqiang He

The use of machine learning to guide clinical decision making has the potential to worsen existing health disparities. Several recent works frame the problem as that of algorithmic fairness, a framework that has attracted considerable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-16 Stephen R. Pfohl , Agata Foryciarz , Nigam H. Shah

Self-adaptation can be realized in various ways. Rule-based approaches prescribe the adaptation to be executed if the system or environment satisfies certain conditions. They result in scalable solutions but often with merely satisfying…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Sona Ghahremani , Holger Giese , Thomas Vogel

Triple difference designs have become increasingly popular in empirical economics. The advantage of a triple difference design is that, within a treatment group, it allows for another subgroup of the population -- potentially less impacted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-04 Laura Caron

Tie-breaker designs trade off a statistical design objective with short-term gain from preferentially assigning a binary treatment to those with high values of a running variable $x$. The design objective is any continuous function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

Stabilized dynamic treatment regimes are sequential decision rules for individual patients that not only adaptive throughout the disease progression but also remain consistent over time in format. The estimation of stabilized dynamic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Ying-Qi Zhao , Ruoqing Zhu , Guanhua Chen , Yingye Zheng

Randomized controlled trials are not only the golden standard in medicine and vaccine trials but have spread to many other disciplines like behavioral economics, making it an important interdisciplinary tool for scientists. When designing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-30 Tassilo Schwarz