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In this study, we present an integro-differential model to simulate the local spread of infections. The model incorporates a standard susceptible-infected-recovered (\textit{SIR}-) model enhanced by an integral kernel, allowing for…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-07-24 Moritz Schäfer , Peter Heidrich , Thomas Götz

An age structured mathematical model with time dependent parameters is developed to investigate the dynamics of dengue transmission. Its properties are thoroughly analyzed in the first part of this work, as for example its disease free…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-21 Ihtisham Ul Haq , Serge Richard

Social networks are an important infrastructure for information, viruses and innovations propagation. Since users behavior has influenced by other users activity, some groups of people would be made regard to similarity of users interests.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-30 Hamidreza Sotoodeh , Farshad Safaei , Arghavan Sanei , Elahe Daei

As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national level. However, the epidemic models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-18 Le Bao , Mary Mahy , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Peter Ghys

Mathematical modeling is one of the key factors of the effective control of newly found infectious diseases, such as COVID-19. Our knowledge about the parameters and the course of the infection is highly limited in the beginning of the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-10-13 Péter Boldog , Norbert Bogya , Zsolt Vizi

Each individual in society experiences an evolution of their income during their lifetime. Macroscopically, this dynamics creates a statistical relationship between age and income for each society. In this study, we investigate income…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-01 Fatih Ozhamaratli , Oleg Kitov , Paolo Barucca

In stopping the spread of infectious diseases, pathogen genomic data can be used to reconstruct transmission events and characterize population-level sources of infection. Most approaches for identifying transmission pairs do not account…

Distribution data refers to a data set where each sample is represented as a probability distribution, a subject area receiving burgeoning interest in the field of statistics. Although several studies have developed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

We study age of information in a multiple source-multiple destination setting with a focus on its scaling in large wireless networks. There are $n$ nodes that are randomly paired with each other on a fixed area to form $n$…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-11-15 Baturalp Buyukates , Alkan Soysal , Sennur Ulukus

We introduce a model for directed spatial networks. Starting from an age-based preferential attachment model in which all arcs point from younger to older vertices, we add \emph{reciprocal} connections whose probabilities depend on the age…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

In this paper, we propose an SIR spread model in a population network coupled with an infrastructure network that has a pathogen spreading in it. We develop a threshold condition to characterize the monotonicity and peak time of a weighted…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-08 José I. Caiza , Junjie Qin , Philip E. Paré

Several important aspects related to SARS-CoV-2 transmission are not well known due to a lack of appropriate data. However, mathematical and computational tools can be used to extract part of this information from the available data, like…

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We consider dynamic versions of the mutual information of lifetime distributions, with focus on past lifetimes, residual lifetimes and mixed lifetimes evaluated at different instants. This allows to study multicomponent systems, by…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-10 Jafar Ahmadi , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

Throughout human history, epidemics have been a constant presence. Understanding their dynamics is essential to predict scenarios and make substantiated decisions. Mathematical models are powerful tools to describe an epidemic behavior.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-26 Walter HMendes aselein , Diego Eckhard

The coronavirus pandemic has rapidly evolved into an unprecedented crisis. The susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) model and its variants have been used for modeling the pandemic. However, time-independent parameters in the classical…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-09 Hyokyoung G. Hong , Yi Li