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A classical result in risk measure theory states that every coherent risk measure has a dual representation as the supremum of certain expected value over a risk envelope. We study this topic in more detail. The related issues include: 1.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-28 Marcus Ang , Jie Sun , Qiang Yao

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

The robustness of risk measures to changes in underlying loss distributions (distributional uncertainty) is of crucial importance in making well-informed decisions. In this paper, we quantify, for the class of distortion risk measures with…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-14 Carole Bernard , Silvana M. Pesenti , Steven Vanduffel

We establish functional limit theorems for ergodic sums of observables with power singularities for expanding circle maps. In the regime where the observables have infinite variance, we show that when rescaled by $N^{1/s}(\ln N)^\alpha$,…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-09-03 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Sixu Liu

We study the asymptotic probability that a random walk with heavy-tailed increments crosses a high boundary on a random time interval. We use new techniques to extend results of Asmussen [Ann. Appl. Probab. 8 (1998) 354-374] to completely…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Zbigniew Palmowski , Stan Zachary

We study the asymptotic behaviour of modified weighted power variations of the Hermite process of arbitrary order. By selecting suitable "good" increments and exploiting their decomposition into dominant independent components, we establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Antoine Ayache , laurent Loosveldt , Ciprian Tudor

The random polytope $K_n$, defined as the convex hull of $n$ points chosen uniformly at random on the boundary of a smooth convex body, is considered. Proofs for lower and upper variance bounds, strong laws of large numbers and central…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-12 Nicola Turchi , Florian Wespi

Regular and rapid variation have been extensively studied in the literature and applied across various fields, particularly in extreme value theory. In this paper, we examine regular and rapid variation through the lens of generalized…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-17 Haijun Li

A one-parameter family of point processes describing the distribution of the critical points of the characteristic polynomial of large random Hermitian matrices on the scale of mean spacing is investigated. Conditionally on the Riemann…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-18 Sasha Sodin

We consider the fluctuations in the number of particles in a box of size L^d in Z^d, d>=1, in the (infinite volume) translation invariant stationary states of the facilitated exclusion process, also called the conserved lattice gas model.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-01-31 S. Goldstein , J. L. Lebowitz , E. R. Speer

We prove a strong duality result for a linear programming problem which has the interpretation of being a discretised optimal Skorokhod embedding problem, and we recover this continuous time problem as a limit of the discrete problems. With…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-24 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sam M. Kinsley

We study combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives. We develop and discuss results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for the combinations of risk measures. One of the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We study largest singular values of large random matrices, each with mean of a fixed rank $K$. Our main result is a limit theorem as the number of rows and columns approach infinity, while their ratio approaches a positive constant. It…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-02 Wlodek Bryc , Jack W. Silverstein

Motivated by applications arising in networked systems, this work examines controlled regime-switching systems that stem from a mean-variance formulation. A main point is that the switching process is a hidden Markov chain. An additional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-01-21 Zhixin Yang , George Yin , Qing Zhang

We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

We prove large deviation results for sums of heavy-tailed random elements in rather general convex cones being semigroups equipped with a rescaling operation by positive real numbers. In difference to previous results for the cone of convex…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-28 Christoph Kopp , Ilya Molchanov

In this paper we solve the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem when asset returns follow a multivariate autoregressive hidden Markov model. Time dependent volatility and serial dependence are well established properties of financial…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-02-13 Massimo Caccia , Bruno Rémillard

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of suitably time-modulated Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed kernels in a nearly unstable regime. We show that, under appropriate scaling, both the intensity processes and the rescaled Hawkes…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper investigates the random horizon optimal stopping problem for measure-valued piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). This is motivated by population dynamics applications, when one wants to monitor some characteristics…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-14 Bertrand Cloez , Benoîte de Saporta , Maud Joubaud