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相关论文: Transporting a prediction model for use in a new t…

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We study the problem of approximately transforming a sample from a source statistical model to a sample from a target statistical model without knowing the parameters of the source model, and construct several computationally efficient such…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-19 Mengqi Lou , Guy Bresler , Ashwin Pananjady

The present study discuss the problem of estimating the finite population mean using auxiliary attribute in stratified random sampling. In this paper taking the advantage of point bi-serial correlation between the study variable and…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-13 Hemant K. Verma , Prayas Sharma , Rajesh Singh

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

Generalizing empirical findings to new environments, settings, or populations is essential in most scientific explorations. This article treats a particular problem of generalizability, called "transportability", defined as a license to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-03 Elias Bareinboim , Judea Pearl

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

In this paper, we study the information transmission problem under the distributed learning framework, where each worker node is merely permitted to transmit a $m$-dimensional statistic to improve learning results of the target node.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-27 Xinyi Tong , Jian Xu , Shao-Lun Huang

The recent proliferation of research into transformer based natural language processing has led to a number of studies which attempt to detect the presence of human-like cognitive behavior in the models. We contend that, as is true of human…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-04-01 Jesse Roberts , Kyle Moore , Drew Wilenzick , Doug Fisher

We aim for source-free domain adaptation, where the task is to deploy a model pre-trained on source domains to target domains. The challenges stem from the distribution shift from the source to the target domain, coupled with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Mengmeng Jing , Xiantong Zhen , Jingjing Li , Cees G. M. Snoek

Often the goal of model selection is to choose a model for future prediction, and it is natural to measure the accuracy of a future prediction by squared error loss. Under the Bayesian approach, it is commonly perceived that the optimal…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Maria Maddalena Barbieri , James O. Berger

Predicting human displacements is crucial for addressing various societal challenges, including urban design, traffic congestion, epidemic management, and migration dynamics. While predictive models like deep learning and Markov models…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-08-07 Sebastiano Bontorin , Simone Centellegher , Riccardo Gallotti , Luca Pappalardo , Bruno Lepri , Massimiliano Luca

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

The large majority of inferences drawn in empirical political research follow from model-based associations (e.g. regression). Here, we articulate the benefits of predictive modeling as a complement to this approach. Predictive models aim…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-20 Skyler J. Cranmer , Bruce A. Desmarais

Extending (generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a randomized trial to a target population requires ``generalizability'' or ``transportability'' assumptions, which state that randomized and non-randomized individuals are…

We present the fundamentals of a measure transport approach to sampling. The idea is to construct a deterministic coupling---i.e., a transport map---between a complex "target" probability measure of interest and a simpler reference measure.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Youssef Marzouk , Tarek Moselhy , Matthew Parno , Alessio Spantini

Clinicians increasingly rely on prediction models to guide treatment choices. Most prediction models, however, are developed using observational data that include some patients who have already received the treatment the prediction model is…

Methods that address data shifts usually assume full access to multiple datasets. In the healthcare domain, however, privacy-preserving regulations as well as commercial interests limit data availability and, as a result, researchers can…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Tal El-Hay , Chen Yanover

We address the problem of ensemble selection in transfer learning: Given a large pool of source models we want to select an ensemble of models which, after fine-tuning on the target training set, yields the best performance on the target…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-01 Andrea Agostinelli , Jasper Uijlings , Thomas Mensink , Vittorio Ferrari

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu

We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana