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We present methods for estimating loss-based measures of the performance of a prediction model in a target population that differs from the source population in which the model was developed, in settings where outcome and covariate data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Samantha Morrison , Constantine Gatsonis , Issa J. Dahabreh , Bing Li , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

We consider the estimation of measures of model performance in a target population when covariate and outcome data are available on a sample from some source population and covariate data, but not outcome data, are available on a simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Sarah E. Robertson , Issa J. Dahabreh

Methods for extending -- generalizing or transporting -- inferences from a randomized trial to a target population involve conditioning on a large set of covariates that is sufficient for rendering the randomized and non-randomized groups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-04 Sarah E Robertson , Jon A Steingrimsson , Issa J Dahabreh

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

Transportability provides a principled framework to address the problem of applying study results to new populations. Here, we consider the problem of selecting variables to include in transport estimators. We provide a brief overview of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-11 Megha L. Mehrotra , M. Maria Glymour , Elvin Geng , Daniel Westreich , David V. Glidden

Machine learning models $-$ now commonly developed to screen, diagnose, or predict health conditions $-$ are evaluated with a variety of performance metrics. An important first step in assessing the practical utility of a model is to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-27 Andrew C. Miller , Leon A. Gatys , Joseph Futoma , Emily B. Fox

We present methods for causally interpretable meta-analyses that combine information from multiple randomized trials to estimate potential (counterfactual) outcome means and average treatment effects in a target population. We consider…

Transporting findings from a study population to a target population is central to evidence-based decision-making in real-world settings. Most existing methods require individual-level data from both populations to account for covariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Ying Sheng , Yifei Sun , Chiung-Yu Huang

We study a linear statistical model where outcomes depend on regressors with fixed population coefficients and observation-specific latent coefficients, along with measurement errors. A decision-maker estimates population coefficients and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-15 Junnan He , Lin Hu , Matthew Kovach , Anqi Li

We take steps towards causally interpretable meta-analysis by describing methods for transporting causal inferences from a collection of randomized trials to a new target population, one-trial-at-a-time and pooling all trials. We discuss…

Epidemiologists and applied statisticians often believe that relative effect measures conditional on covariates, such as risk ratios and mean ratios, are ``transportable'' across populations. Here, we examine the identification of causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-24 Issa J. Dahabreh , Sarah E. Robertson , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Counterfactual prediction methods are required when a model will be deployed in a setting where treatment policies differ from the setting where the model was developed, or when a model provides predictions under hypothetical interventions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-13 Christopher B. Boyer , Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Methods for extending -- generalizing or transporting -- inferences from a randomized trial to a target population involve conditioning on a large set of covariates that is sufficient for rendering the randomized and non-randomized groups…

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Trial findings are often used to inform policy and programming efforts, yet their results may not generalize well to a relevant target population due to…

For estimating area-specific parameters (quantities) in a finite population, a mixed model prediction approach is attractive. However, this approach strongly depends on the normality assumption of the response values although we often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-12 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

When estimating an effect of an action with a randomized or observational study, that study is often not a random sample of the desired target population. Instead, estimates from that study can be transported to the target population.…

Conventional meta analysis of model performance conducted using datasources from different underlying populations often result in estimates that cannot be interpreted in the context of a well defined target population. In this manuscript we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-23 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Lan Wen , Sarah Voter , Issa J. Dahabreh

Transfer learning is beneficial for survival analysis, especially when the target study has a limited number of events. However, existing transfer learning methods rely on the restrictive assumption that the target and source studies share…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , D. Y. Lin

We consider transferability estimation, the problem of estimating how well deep learning models transfer from a source to a target task. We focus on regression tasks, which received little previous attention, and propose two simple and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Cuong N. Nguyen , Phong Tran , Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh , Anh T. Tran , Tal Hassner , Cuong V. Nguyen
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