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This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a staple of economics research for decades. In particular, weak-form market efficiency -- the notion that past prices cannot predict future performance -- is strongly supported by econometric…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-12 Samuel Showalter , Jeffrey Gropp

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

In this essay, we have comprehensively evaluated the feasibility and suitability of adopting the Machine Learning Models on the forecast of corporation fundamentals (i.e. the earnings), where the prediction results of our method have been…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-29 Xinyue Cui , Zhaoyu Xu , Yue Zhou

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy that exploits historical correlation between stocks to achieve statistical arbitrage. Existing pairs-trading algorithms in the literature require rather restrictive assumptions on the underlying…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-08-15 Atul Deshpande , B. Ross Barmish

We investigate the effectiveness of a momentum trading signal based on the coverage network of financial analysts. This signal builds on the key information-brokerage role financial sell-side analysts play in modern stock markets. The…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-29 Dragos Gorduza , Yaxuan Kong , Xiaowen Dong , Stefan Zohren

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

In this paper we explore the usage of deep reinforcement learning algorithms to automatically generate consistently profitable, robust, uncorrelated trading signals in any general financial market. In order to do this, we present a novel…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-17 Souradeep Chakraborty

Developing professional, structured reasoning on par with human financial analysts and traders remains a central challenge in AI for finance, where markets demand interpretability and trust. Traditional time-series models lack…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-09-16 Yijia Xiao , Edward Sun , Tong Chen , Fang Wu , Di Luo , Wei Wang

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

The lack of interpretability and transparency are preventing economists from using advanced tools like neural networks in their empirical research. In this paper, we propose a class of interpretable neural network models that can achieve…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-01 Yucheng Yang , Zhong Zheng , Weinan E

In many areas of industry and society, e.g., energy, healthcare, logistics, agents collect vast amounts of data that they deem proprietary. These data owners extract predictive information of varying quality and relevance from data…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-07 Aitazaz Ali Raja , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour , Sergio Grammatico

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Fully capturing various market variables, including long-term information, as well as essential signals…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-24 Zhaofeng Zhang , Banghao Chen , Shengxin Zhu , Nicolas Langrené

Unfair stock trading strategies have been shown to be one of the most negative perceptions that customers can have concerning trading and may result in long-term losses for a company. Investment banks usually place trading orders for…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-01-06 Wenhang Bao

We introduce a trade strategy representation theorem for performance measurement and portable alpha in high frequency trading, by embedding a robust trading algorithm that describe portfolio manager market timing behavior, in a canonical…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-06-21 Godfrey Charles-Cadogan