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Stock price forecasting has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades due to the high volatility of the stock market. Recent efforts have been devoted to modeling complex stock correlations toward joint stock price…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-27 Tong Li , Zhaoyang Liu , Yanyan Shen , Xue Wang , Haokun Chen , Sen Huang

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

Stock trading is one of the popular ways for financial management. However, the market and the environment of economy is unstable and usually not predictable. Furthermore, engaging in stock trading requires time and effort to analyze,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Yunfei Luo , Zhangqi Duan

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-02-24 B. W. Wanjawa , L. Muchemi

Long term investment is one of the major investment strategies. However, calculating intrinsic value of some company and evaluating shares for long term investment is not easy, since analyst have to care about a large number of financial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-11 Nikola Milosevic

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

We develop a rigorous walk-forward validation framework for algorithmic trading designed to mitigate overfitting and lookahead bias. Our methodology combines interpretable hypothesis-driven signal generation with reinforcement learning and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-12-16 Gagan Deep , Akash Deep , William Lamptey

Modeling and characterizing multiple factors is perhaps the most important step in achieving excess returns over market benchmarks. Both academia and industry are striving to find new factors that have good explanatory power for future…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-10-31 Zikai Wei , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

Successful quantitative investment usually relies on precise predictions of the future movement of the stock price. Recently, machine learning based solutions have shown their capacity to give more accurate stock prediction and become…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Hengxu Lin , Dong Zhou , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

Sophisticated machine learning (ML) models to inform trading in the financial sector create problems of interpretability and risk management. Seemingly robust forecasting models may behave erroneously in out of distribution settings. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-01 Gabriel Deza , Adelin Travers , Colin Rowat , Nicolas Papernot

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-20 Yuxi Hong

The use of machine learning for statistical modeling (and thus, generative modeling) has grown in popularity with the proliferation of time series models, text-to-image models, and especially large language models. Fundamentally, the goal…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-06 Achintya Gopal

In this paper, we address one of the main puzzles in finance observed in the stock market by proponents of behavioral finance: the stock predictability puzzle. We offer a statistical model within the context of rational finance which can be…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-07 Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

The formulaic alphas are mathematical formulas that transform raw stock data into indicated signals. In the industry, a collection of formulaic alphas is combined to enhance modeling accuracy. Existing alpha mining only employs the neural…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-01 Tao Ren , Ruihan Zhou , Jinyang Jiang , Jiafeng Liang , Qinghao Wang , Yijie Peng

Forecasting the trend of stock prices is an enduring topic at the intersection of finance and computer science. Periodical updates to forecasters have proven effective in handling concept drifts arising from non-stationary markets. However,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-18 Shiluo Huang , Zheng Liu , Ye Deng , Qing Li

Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár

Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-20 Liao Zhu