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The interconnected nature of the economic variables influencing a firm's performance makes the prediction of a company's earning trend a challenging task. Existing methodologies often rely on simplistic models and financial ratios failing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Marco Piazza , Mauro Passacantando , Francesca Magli , Federica Doni , Andrea Amaduzzi , Enza Messina

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

We provide a natural learning process in which a financial trader without a risk receives a gain in case when Stock Market is inefficient. In this process, the trader rationally choose his gambles using a prediction made by a randomized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-05-24 Vladimir Trunov , Vladimir V'yugin

Nowadays, machine learning methods have been widely used in stock prediction. Traditional approaches assume an identical data distribution, under which a learned model on the training data is fixed and applied directly in the test data.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-18 Chi Chen , Li Zhao , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Chunxiao Xing

Alpha factor mining aims to discover investment signals from the historical financial market data, which can be used to predict asset returns and gain excess profits. Powerful deep learning methods for alpha factor mining lack…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-18 Junjie Zhao , Chengxi Zhang , Min Qin , Peng Yang

Determining whether published scientific findings can successfully be replicated is a long-standing challenge in the empirical sciences. Existing approaches for replicability assessment typically rely either on human judgment, i.e.,…

Stock market prediction has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades owing to its inherent high volatility and low information noisy ratio. Existing solutions based on machine learning or deep learning demonstrate superior…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-04 Zhaojian Yu , Yinghao Wu , Genesis Wang , Heming Weng

Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) have enabled powerful agent-based applications in finance, particularly for sentiment analysis, financial report comprehension, and stock forecasting. However, existing systems often lack…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Feng Tian , Flora D. Salim , Hao Xue

Mining of formulaic alpha factors refers to the process of discovering and developing specific factors or indicators (referred to as alpha factors) for quantitative trading in stock market. To efficiently discover alpha factors in vast…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Hong-Gi Shin , Sukhyun Jeong , Eui-Yeon Kim , Sungho Hong , Young-Jin Cho , Yong-Hoon Choi

The rapid development of sophisticated machine learning methods, together with the increased availability of financial data, has the potential to transform financial research, but also poses a challenge in terms of validation and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-29 Mateusz Wilinski , Anubha Goel , Alexandros Iosifidis , Juho Kanniainen

Significant progress has been made in automated problem-solving using societies of agents powered by large language models (LLMs). In finance, efforts have largely focused on single-agent systems handling specific tasks or multi-agent…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-06-04 Yijia Xiao , Edward Sun , Di Luo , Wei Wang

We propose and study the integration of sentiment analysis and deep reinforcement learning ensemble algorithms for stock trading by evaluating strategies capable of dynamically altering their active agent given the concurrent market…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-11-21 Andrew Ye , James Xu , Vidyut Veedgav , Yi Wang , Yifan Yu , Daniel Yan , Ryan Chen , Vipin Chaudhary , Shuai Xu

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on a financial exchange.

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2014-03-03 Osman Hegazy , Omar S. Soliman , Mustafa Abdul Salam

Much research has been done to analyze the stock market. After all, if one can determine a pattern in the chaotic frenzy of transactions, then they could make a hefty profit from capitalizing on these insights. As such, the goal of our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Ziyi Zhou , Nicholas Stern , Julien Laasri

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

The complexity of financial data, characterized by its variability and low signal-to-noise ratio, necessitates advanced methods in quantitative investment that prioritize both performance and interpretability.Transitioning from early manual…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-13 Hao Shi , Weili Song , Xinting Zhang , Jiahe Shi , Cuicui Luo , Xiang Ao , Hamid Arian , Luis Seco

We propose to represent a return model and risk model in a unified manner with deep learning, which is a representative model that can express a nonlinear relationship. Although deep learning performs quite well, it has significant…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-17 Kei Nakagawa , Takumi Uchida , Tomohisa Aoshima

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

There's a long tradition of research using computational intelligence (methods from artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML)), to automatically discover, implement, and fine-tune strategies for autonomous adaptive automated…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Dave Cliff , Michael Rollins