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Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

When it comes to stock returns, any form of predictability can bolster risk-adjusted profitability. We develop a collaborative machine learning algorithm that optimizes portfolio weights so that the resulting synthetic security is maximally…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-08 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Maximilian Goebel

This paper introduces StockGPT, an autoregressive ``number'' model trained and tested on 70 million daily U.S.\ stock returns over nearly 100 years. Treating each return series as a sequence of tokens, StockGPT automatically learns the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-24 Dat Mai

Alpha factor mining is a fundamental task in quantitative trading, aimed at discovering interpretable signals that can predict asset returns beyond systematic market risk. While traditional methods rely on manual formula design or heuristic…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Lang Cao

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Financial portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in mathematics, statistics, financial and computational literature. It adheres to determining an optimal combination of weights associated with financial assets held in a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-01-21 Ankit Dangi

A population of committees of agents that learn by using neural networks is implemented to simulate the stock market. Each committee of agents, which is regarded as a player in a game, is optimised by continually adapting the architecture…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 T. Marwala , P. De Wilde , L. Correia , P. Mariano , R. Ribeiro , V. Abramov , N. Szirbik , J. Goossenaerts

Deep Learning is evolving fast and integrates into various domains. Finance is a challenging field for deep learning, especially in the case of interpretable artificial intelligence (AI). Although classical approaches perform very well with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov , Irina Podlipnova , Dinara Khubieva

Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-12-23 David Rushing Dewhurst , Yi Li , Alexander Bogdan , Jasmine Geng

Stock price prediction is a critical area of financial forecasting, traditionally approached by training models using the historical price data of individual stocks. While these models effectively capture single-stock patterns, they fail to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Yi Hu , Hanchi Ren , Jingjing Deng , Xianghua Xie

Machine learning driven trading strategies have garnered a lot of interest over the past few years. There is, however, limited consensus on the ideal approach for the development of such trading strategies. Further, most literature has…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-03-25 Prasang Gupta , Shaz Hoda , Anand Rao

We consider a trader who wants to direct his portfolio towards a set of acceptable wealths given by a convex risk measure. We propose a black-box algorithm, whose inputs are the joint law of stock prices and the convex risk measure, and…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Soumik Pal

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

With the application of artificial intelligence in the financial field, quantitative trading is considered to be profitable. Based on this, this paper proposes an improved deep recurrent DRQN-ARBR model because the existing quantitative…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-01 Peng Zhou , Jingling Tang

Quantitative trading strategies rely on accurately ranking stocks to identify profitable investments. Effective portfolio management requires models that can reliably order future stock returns. Transformer models are promising for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Jan Kwiatkowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

A binary classifier that tries to predict if the price of an asset will increase or decrease naturally gives rise to a trading strategy that follows the prediction and thus always has a position in the market. Selective classification…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-11-02 Nestoras Chalkidis , Rahul Savani

The development of reinforced learning methods has extended application to many areas including algorithmic trading. In this paper trading on the stock exchange is interpreted into a game with a Markov property consisting of states,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-02-28 Evgeny Ponomarev , Ivan Oseledets , Andrzej Cichocki

We propose that predictability is a prerequisite for profitability on financial markets. We look at ways to measure predictability of price changes using information theoretic approach and employ them on all historical data available for…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-13 Paweł Fiedor

Pairs trading, a strategy that capitalizes on price movements of asset pairs driven by similar factors, has gained significant popularity among traders. Common practice involves selecting highly cointegrated pairs to form a portfolio, which…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-14 Khizar Qureshi , Tauhid Zaman