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Motion Planning under uncertainty is critical for safe self-driving. In this paper, we propose a unified obstacle avoidance framework that deals with 1) uncertainty in ego-vehicle motion; and 2) prediction uncertainty of dynamic obstacles…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Shivesh Khaitan , Qin Lin , John M. Dolan

In real-time trajectory planning for unmanned vehicles, on-board sensors, radars and other instruments are used to collect information on possible obstacles to be avoided and pathways to be followed. Since, in practice, observations of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-25 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Julian A. A. Collazos , Ronaldo Dias

Slippery road conditions pose significant challenges for autonomous driving. Beyond predicting road grip, it is crucial to estimate its uncertainty reliably to ensure safe vehicle control. In this work, we benchmark several uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-14 Jyri Maanpää , Julius Pesonen , Iaroslav Melekhov , Heikki Hyyti , Juha Hyyppä

Despite recent progress in predicting biomarker trajectories from real clinical data, uncertainty in the predictions poses high-stakes risks (e.g., misdiagnosis) that limit their clinical deployment. To enable safe and reliable use of such…

Classical deterministic optimal control problems assume full information about the controlled process. The theory of control for general partially-observable processes is powerful, but the methods are computationally expensive and typically…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-02 Dongping Qi , Adam Dhillon , Alexander Vladimirsky

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Dealing with meteorological uncertainty poses a major challenge in air traffic management (ATM). Convective weather (commonly referred to as storms or thunderstorms) in particular represents a significant safety hazard that is responsible…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-08 Daniel Hentzen , Maryam Kamgarpour , Manuel Soler , Daniel González-Arribas

In this study, we explore in depth a few under-studied topics at the intersection of uncertainty estimation and segmentation. Prior work has shown that the quality of uncertainty estimates can be very sensitive to a range of variables. As…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Michael Smith , Frank P. Ferrie

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

This work is dedicated to the study of how uncertainty estimation of the human motion prediction can be embedded into constrained optimization techniques, such as Model Predictive Control (MPC) for the social robot navigation. We propose…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Timur Akhtyamov , Aleksandr Kashirin , Aleksey Postnikov , Gonzalo Ferrer

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst-case…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Ola Johansson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

This paper studies the set of terminal state covariances that are reachable over a finite time horizon from a given initial state covariance for a linear stochastic system with additive noise. For discrete-time systems, a complete…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-22 Fengjiao Liu , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We study the nonlinear observability of a systems states in view of how well they are observable and what control inputs would improve the convergence of their estimates. We use these insights to develop an observability-aware…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2016-04-28 Karol Hausman , James Preiss , Gaurav Sukhatme , Stephan Weiss

Accurately modeling and verifying the correct operation of systems interacting in dynamic environments is challenging. By leveraging parametric uncertainty within the model description, one can relax the requirement to describe exactly the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-05 Patrick Holmes , Shreyas Kousik , Shankar Mohan , Ram Vasudevan

In this paper, we describe a representation for spatial information, called the stochastic map, and associated procedures for building it, reading information from it, and revising it incrementally as new information is obtained. The map…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-12 Randall Smith , Matthew Self , Peter Cheeseman

Path planning in obstacle-dense environments is a key challenge in robotics, and depends on inferring scene attributes and associated uncertainties. We present a multiple-hypothesis path planner designed to navigate complex environments…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Brian H. Wang , Beatriz Asfora , Rachel Zheng , Aaron Peng , Jacopo Banfi , Mark Campbell

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Significant advances in sensing, robotics, and wireless networks have enabled the collaborative utilization of autonomous aerial, ground and underwater vehicles for various applications. However, to successfully harness the benefits of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-11 Saravanan Venkatachalam , Manish Bansal , Jonathon M. Smereka , Joseph Lee

Traffic accidents pose a significant risk to human health and property safety. Therefore, to prevent traffic accidents, predicting their risks has garnered growing interest. We argue that a desired prediction solution should demonstrate…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Minxiao Chen , Haitao Yuan , Nan Jiang , Zhifeng Bao , Shangguang Wang