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Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables (BNN+LVs) capture predictive uncertainty by explicitly modeling model uncertainty (via priors on network weights) and environmental stochasticity (via a latent input noise variable). In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-19 Yaniv Yacoby , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Under the Bayesian brain hypothesis, behavioural variations can be attributed to different priors over generative model parameters. This provides a formal explanation for why individuals exhibit inconsistent behavioural preferences when…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2021-07-13 Noor Sajid , Francesco Faccio , Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr , Jürgen Schmidhuber , Karl Friston

Brownian motion is widely used as a paradigmatic model of diffusion in equilibrium media throughout the physical, chemical, and biological sciences. However, many real world systems, particularly biological ones, are intrinsically…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-06-04 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Tomohiko G. Sano , Andrea Cairoli , Adrian Baule

Interactions among individuals in natural populations often occur in a dynamically changing environment. Understanding the role of environmental variation in population dynamics has long been a central topic in theoretical ecology and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-18 Feng Huang , Ming Cao , Long Wang

Motivated by studies on the recurrent properties of animal and human mobility, we introduce a path-dependent random walk model with long range memory for which not only the mean square displacement (MSD) can be obtained exactly in the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-19 D. Boyer , J. C. R. Romo-Cruz

Adaptive behavior emerges through a dynamic interaction between cognitive agents and changing environmental demands. The investigation of information processing underlying adaptive behavior relies on controlled experimental settings in…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2020-11-30 Marco D'Alessandro , Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Luigi Lombardi

Discovering causal relationships is a hard task, often hindered by the need for intervention, and often requiring large amounts of data to resolve statistical uncertainty. However, humans quickly arrive at useful causal relationships. One…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-12-01 Pedro A. Ortega

Non-Bayesian social learning theory provides a framework for distributed inference of a group of agents interacting over a social network by sequentially communicating and updating beliefs about the unknown state of the world through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-25 James Z. Hare , Cesar Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

Many multi-agent interaction scenarios can be naturally modeled as noncooperative games, where each agent's decisions depend on others' future actions. However, deploying game-theoretic planners for autonomous decision-making requires a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-05 Yash Jain , Xinjie Liu , Lasse Peters , David Fridovich-Keil , Ufuk Topcu

Recent analysis of empirical data [F. Radicchi, A. Baronchelli & L.A.N. Amaral. PloS ONE 7, e029910 (2012)] showed that humans adopt L\'evy flight strategies when exploring the bid space in on-line auctions. A game theoretical model proved…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-06-21 Filippo Radicchi , Andrea Baronchelli

Consider a one dimensional simple random walk $X=(X_n)_{n\geq0}$. We form a new simple symmetric random walk $Y=(Y_n)_{n\geq0}$ by taking sums of products of the increments of $X$ and study the two-dimensional walk…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-18 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Meng Shi

The idea that the brain is a probabilistic (Bayesian) inference machine, continuously trying to figure out the hidden causes of its inputs, has become very influential in cognitive (neuro)science over recent decades. Here I present a…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2024-02-15 Eelke Spaak

This work investigates the case of a network of agents that attempt to learn some unknown state of the world amongst the finitely many possibilities. At each time step, agents all receive random, independently distributed private signals…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-29 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

Contextual policy search allows adapting robotic movement primitives to different situations. For instance, a locomotion primitive might be adapted to different terrain inclinations or desired walking speeds. Such an adaptation is often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Jan Hendrik Metzen

We demonstrate the phenomenon of cumulative inertia in intracellular transport involving multiple motor proteins in human epithelial cells by measuring the empirical survival probability of cargoes on the microtubule and their detachment…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-10-31 Sergei Fedotov , Nickolay Korabel , Thomas A. Waigh , Daniel Han , Victoria J. Allan

Ecologists are increasingly expected to inform management decisions under uncertainty, yet most analytical workflows stop at statistical inference. This disconnect limits the practical impact of ecological modelling, particularly in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Olivier Gimenez , Abby Keller , Cyril Milleret

A biological competition model where the individuals of the same species perform a two-dimensional Markovian continuous-time random walk and undergo reproduction and death is studied. The competition is introduced through the assumption…

生物物理 · 物理学 2011-08-31 E. Heinsalu , E. Hernandez-Garcia , C. Lopez

Self-interacting random walks are endowed with long range memory effects that emerge from the interaction of the random walker at time $t$ with the territory that it has visited at earlier times $t'<t$. This class of non Markovian random…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-09-28 Alex Barbier--Chebbah , Olivier Benichou , Raphael Voituriez

Metacognition -- assessing the quality of one's own cognitive performance -- guides adaptive behavior across species. Substantial research demonstrates that confidence signals can be extracted from language model outputs, yet a fundamental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Dharshan Kumaran , Nathaniel Daw , Simon Osindero , Petar Veličković , Viorica Patraucean

This paper studies a class of enhanced diffusion processes in which random walkers perform L\'evy flights and apply it for global optimization. L\'evy flights offer controlled balance between exploitation and exploration. We develop four…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-07-23 Truyen Tran , Trung Thanh Nguyen , Hoang Linh Nguyen