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Consider a branching random walk on the real line with a killing barrier at zero: starting from a nonnegative point, particles reproduce and move independently, but are killed when they touch the negative half-line. The population of the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-13 Elie Aïdékon , Yueyun Hu , Olivier Zindy

When two (possibly different in distribution) continuous-state branching processes with immigration are present, we study the relative frequency of one of them when the total mass is forced to be constant at a dense set of times. This leads…

We consider a population model where individuals behave independently from each other and whose genealogy is described by a chronological tree called splitting tree. The individuals have i.i.d. (non-exponential) lifetime durations and give…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-20 Mathieu Richard

The symbiotic branching model in $\mathbb{R}$ describes the behavior of two branching populations migrating in space $\mathbb{R}$ in terms of a corresponding system of stochastic partial differential equations. The system is parametrized…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-08 Eran Avneri , Leonid Mytnik

We study a discrete time multitype branching random walk on a finite space with finite set of types. Particles follow a Markov chain on the spatial space whereas offspring distributions are given by a random field that is fixed throughout…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Onur Gün , Wolfgang König , Ozren Sekulović

We study the role of demographic fluctuations in typical endemics as exemplified by the stochastic SIRS model. The birth-death master equation of the model is simulated using exact numerics and analysed within the linear noise…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-06-29 Somdeb Ghose , R. Adhikari

Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We study the exploration (or height) process of a continuous time non-binary Galton-Watson random tree, in the subcritical, critical and supercritical cases. Thus we consider the branching process in continuous time (Z_{t})_{t\geq 0}, which…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-08 Ibrahima Dramé , Etienne Pardoux , Ahmadou Bamba Sow

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

Using a population dynamics inspired by an ensemble of growing cells, a set of fluctuation theorems linking observables measured at the lineage and population levels are derived. One of these relations implies specific inequalities…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-08 Reinaldo García-García , Arthur Genthon , David Lacoste

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process such that all births are at integer times (the lattice case). We show that under a certain condition on the intensity of the offspring process, the second-order fluctuations of the age…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-30 Svante Janson

Population-size dependent branching processes (PSDBP) and controlled branching processes (CBP) are two classes of branching processes widely used to model biological populations that exhibit logistic growth. In this paper we develop…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-03 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

We consider subcritical branching processes with immigration which evolve under the influence of a random environment and study the tail distribution of life periods of such processes defined as the length of the time interval between the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-10 Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

In this work we study the long-time behavior for subcritical measure-valued branching processes with immigration on the space of tempered measures. Under some reasonable assumptions on the spatial motion, the branching and immigration…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-20 Martin Friesen

We consider a multitype branching process with immigration in a random environment introduced by Key in [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987) 344--353]. It was shown by Key that, under the assumptions made in [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987) 344--353], the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Alexander Roitershtein

Building on the spinal decomposition technique in Foutel-Rodier and Schertzer (2022) we prove a Yaglom limit law for the rescaled size of a nearly critical branching process in varying environment conditional on survival. In addition, our…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Florin Boenkost , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

In this work, we study a family of non-Markovian trees modeling populations where individuals live and reproduce independently with possibly time-dependent birth-rate and lifetime distribution. To this end, we use the coding process…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-26 Bertrand Cloez , Benoît Henry

I study a population model in which the reproduction rate lambda is inherited with mutation, favoring fast reproducers in the short term, but conflicting with a process that eliminates agglomerations of individuals. The model is a variant…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-06-02 Ronald Dickman

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Pablo Groisman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Célio Terra