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We formulate an optimal control problem to determine the lockdown policy to curb an epidemic where other control measures are not available yet. We present a unified framework to model the epidemic and economy that allows us to study the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-20 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway

The problem of multi-hypothesis testing with controlled sensing of observations is considered. The distribution of observations collected under each control is assumed to follow a single-parameter exponential family distribution. The goal…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-29 Aditya Deshmukh , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Group testing was conceived during World War II to identify soldiers infected with syphilis using as few tests as possible, and it has attracted renewed interest during the COVID-19 pandemic. A long-standing assumption in the probabilistic…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-11-18 Surin Ahn , Wei-Ning Chen , Ayfer Ozgur

We study the optimal control problem for a weighted mean-field system. A new feature of the control problem is that the coefficients depend on the state process as well as its weighted measure and the control variable. By applying…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-08-25 Yanyan Tang , Jie Xiong

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

Infectious diseases, either emerging or long-lasting, place numerous people at risk and bring heavy public health burdens worldwide. In the process against infectious diseases, predicting the epidemic risk by modeling the disease…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Mutong Liu , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

The rapid worldwide spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) demonstrated the potential threat an infectious disease poses in a closely interconnected and interdependent world. Here we introduce a probabilistic model which…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-10 L. Hufnagel , D. Brockmann , T. Geisel

In this paper, we consider robust control using randomized algorithms. We extend the existing order statistics distribution theory to the general case in which the distribution of population is not assumed to be continuous and the order…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

Pooled and individual disease testing are common methods for determining the population prevalences of diseases. Recently, researchers have used Monte Carlo Markov Chain methods to estimate population prevalence from the combined streams of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-23 Matthew Ritch , Charles Copley

Epidemic models are used to analyze the progression or outcome of an epidemic under different control policies like vaccinations, quarantines, lockdowns, use of face-masks, pharmaceutical interventions, etc. When these models accurately…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-04-19 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez , Osval Montsinos Lopez , Ramon Solano-Barajas

Thompson Sampling algorithm is a well known Bayesian algorithm for solving stochastic multi-armed bandit. At each time step the algorithm chooses each arm with probability proportional to it being the current best arm. We modify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-09 Qiang Ha

Epidemic control is of great importance for human society. Adjusting interacting partners is an effective individualized control strategy. Intuitively, it is done either by shortening the interaction time between susceptible and infected…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-12-28 Bin Wu , Shanjun Mao , Jiazeng Wang , Da Zhou

Thompson Sampling has generated significant interest due to its better empirical performance than upper confidence bound based algorithms. In this paper, we study Thompson Sampling based algorithm for Unsupervised Sequential Selection (USS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-17 Arun Verma , Manjesh K. Hanawal , Nandyala Hemachandra

Many countries have experienced at least two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. The second wave is far more dangerous as distinct strains appear more harmful to human health, but it stems from the complacency about the first wave. This paper…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-29 Edilson F. Arruda , Tarun Sharma , Rodrigo e A. Alexandre , Sinnu Susan Thomas

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

Controlling infectious diseases is a major health priority because they can spread and infect humans, thus evolving into epidemics or pandemics. Therefore, early detection of infectious diseases is a significant need, and many researchers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-16 Eman Yahia Alqaissi , Fahd Saleh Alotaibi , Muhammad Sher Ramzan

We propose a sampling-based trajectory optimization methodology for constrained problems. We extend recent works on stochastic search to deal with box control constraints,as well as nonlinear state constraints for discrete dynamical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-13 George I. Boutselis , Ziyi Wang , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

We study the impact of parameter estimation and state measurement errors on a control framework for optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-08 Baike She , Lei Xin , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

In this chapter, we focus on the problem of containing the spread of diseases taking place in both temporal and adaptive networks (i.e., networks whose structure `adapts' to the state of the disease). We specifically focus on the problem of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado