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In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent $p-$coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Steven P. Lalley

Infectious diseases usually originate from a specific location within a city. Due to the heterogenous distribution of population and public facilities, and the structural heterogeneity of human mobility network embedded in space, infectious…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-25 Kang Liu , Ling Yin , Jianzhang Xue

This paper is a further study of Reference \cite{Xue2015}. We are concerned with the contact process with random vertex weights on the oriented lattice. Our main result gives the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability of the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-13 Xiaofeng Xue

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen

Studies of the phase diagram of the coupled sine circle map lattice have identified the presence of two distinct universality classes of spatiotemporal intermittency viz. spatiotemporal intermittency of the directed percolation class with a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-09-14 Zahera Jabeen , Neelima Gupte

Like a free particle, the initial growth of a broad (relative to lattice spacing) wavepacket placed on an ordered lattice is slow (zero initial slope) and becomes linear in $t$ at long time. On a disordered lattice, the growth is inhibited…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Bingyu Cui , Maxim Sukharev , Abraham Nitzan

We study how the spread of computer viruses, worms, and other self-replicating malware is affected by the logical topology of the network over which they propagate. We consider a model in which each host can be in one of 3 possible states -…

概率论 · 数学 2008-05-25 M. Draief , A. Ganesh , L. Massoulie

We consider the edge-based compartmental models for infectious disease spread introduced in Part I. These models allow us to consider standard SIR diseases spreading in random populations. In this paper we show how to handle deviations of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Erik M. Volz

The spreading of an epidemic is determined by the connectiviy patterns which underlie the population. While it has been noted that a virus spreads more easily on a network in which global distances are small, it remains a great challenge to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

In this paper a lattice model for diffusional transport of particles in the interphase cell nucleus is proposed. Dense networks of chromatin fibers are created by three different methods: randomly distributed, non-interconnected obstacles,…

生物物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Annika Wedemeier , Holger Merlitz , Chen-Xu Wu , Jörg Langowski

This article examines how diseases on random networks spread in time. The disease is described by a probability distribution function for the number of infected and recovered individuals, and the probability distribution is described by a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2013-05-29 M. Marder

The critical behavior of the stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered model on a square lattice is obtained by numerical simulations and finite-size scaling. The order parameter as well as the distribution in the number of recovered…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2011-03-07 David R. de Souza , Tânia Tomé , Robert M. Ziff

Rapidly mutating pathogens may be able to persist in the population and reach an endemic equilibrium by escaping hosts' acquired immunity. For such diseases, multiple biological, environmental and population-level mechanisms determine the…

In this letter, we investigate the detailed epidemic spreading process in scale-free networks with links' weights that denote familiarity between two individuals and find that spreading velocity reaches a peak quickly then decays in a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Gang Yan , Tao Zhou , Jie Wang , Zhong-Qian Fu , Bing-Hong Wang

Waiting times between two consecutive infection and recovery events in spreading processes are often assumed to be exponentially distributed, which results in Markovian (i.e., memoryless) continuous spreading dynamics. However, this is not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-27 Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend to protect themselves by avoiding contacts with infections at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-10-20 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Michael Small , Xinchu Fu , Zhen Jin

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

Lattice networks with dissipative interactions are often employed to analyze materials with discrete micro- or meso-structures, or for a description of heterogeneous materials which can be modelled discretely. They are, however,…

材料科学 · 物理学 2017-04-26 Ondřej Rokoš , Ron H. J. Peerlings , Jan Zeman