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Density dependent families of Markov chains, such as the stochastic models of mass-action chemical kinetics, converge for large values of the indexing parameter $N$ to deterministic systems of differential equations (Kurtz, 1970). Moreover…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-11 Enrico Bibbona , Roberta Sirovich

We investigate the convergence to (quasi--)equilibrium of a density dependent Markov chain in~${\mathbb Z}^d$, whose drift satisfies a system of ordinary differential equations having an attractive fixed point. For a sequence of such…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-21 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

Fluid approximations have seen great success in approximating the macro-scale behaviour of Markov systems with a large number of discrete states. However, these methods rely on the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) having a particular…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-29 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

In this article we provide new applications for exponential approximation using the framework of Pek\"oz and R\"ollin (in press), which is based on Stein's method. We give error bounds for the nearly critical Galton-Watson process…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-13 E. Peköz , A. Röllin

Assume that one observes the $k$th, $2k$th$,\ldots,nk$th value of a Markov chain $X_{1,h},\ldots,X_{nk,h}$. That means we assume that a high frequency Markov chain runs in the background on a very fine time grid but that it is only observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-17 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen , Jeannette Woerner

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We consider the convergence of a continuous-time Markov chain approximation X^h, h>0, to an R^d-valued Levy process X. The state space of X^h is an equidistant lattice and its Q-matrix is chosen to approximate the generator of X. In…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-02 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

We consider weighted graphs satisfying sub-Gaussian estimate for the natural random walk. On such graphs, we study symmetric Markov chains with heavy tailed jumps. We establish a threshold behavior of such Markov chains when the index…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size $N$ were shown by Kurtz (1970, 1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-15 A. D. Barbour , Kais Hamza , Haya Kaspi , Fima Klebaner

The widespread use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional applications has motivated research into the scalability of these algorithms with respect to the dimension of the problem. Despite this, numerous problems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-21 Ardjen Pengel , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

We investigate the local times of a continuous-time Markov chain on an arbitrary discrete state space. For fixed finite range of the Markov chain, we derive an explicit formula for the joint density of all local times on the range, at any…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 David Brydges , Remco van der Hofstad , Wolfgang König

Fluid limit techniques have become a central tool to analyze queueing networks over the last decade, with applications to performance analysis, simulation and optimization. In this paper, some of these techniques are extended to a general…

概率论 · 数学 2008-04-02 Gersende Fort , Sean Meyn , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret

We investigate the local times of a continuous-time Markov chain on an arbitrary discrete state space. For fixed finite range of the Markov chain, we derive an explicit formula for the joint density of all local times on the range, at any…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 D. Brydges , R. van der Hofstad , W. Konig

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue

We consider sequences $(X_t^N)_{t\geq0}$ of Markov processes in two dimensions whose fluid limit is a stable solution of an ordinary differential equation of the form $\dot{x}_t=b(x_t)$, where $b(x)={\pmatrix{-\mu 0 0 \lambda}}x+\tau(x)$…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Amanda G. Turner

Motivated by queues with many servers, we study Brownian steady-state approximations for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our approximations are based on diffusion models (rather than a diffusion limit) whose steady-state, we prove,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-12 Itai Gurvich

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black
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