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The relationship between pandemic and human mobility has received considerable attention from scholars, as it can provide an indication of how mobility patterns change in response to a public health crisis or whether reduced mobility…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-08-13 Jungwoo Cho , Soohwan Oh , Seyun Kim , Namwoo Kim , Yuyol Shin , Haechan Cho , Yoonjin Yoon

In March of 2020, many U.S. state governments encouraged or mandated restrictions on social interactions to slow the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that has spread to nearly 180 countries.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-22 Parker Liautaud , Peter Huybers , Mauricio Santillana

One approach to delay the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is to reduce human travel by imposing travel restriction policies. It is yet unclear how effective those policies are on suppressing the mobility trend due to the lack of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-06 Chenfeng Xiong , Songhua Hu , Mofeng Yang , Hannah N Younes , Weiyu Luo , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

Current efforts of modelling COVID-19 are often based on the standard compartmental models such as SEIR and their variations. As pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic cases can spread the disease between populations through travel, it is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-06 Xiaoye Ding , Shenyang Huang , Abby Leung , Reihaneh Rabbany

Millions of people have been infected and lakhs of people have lost their lives due to the worldwide ongoing novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-05-04 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

The COVID-19 pandemic has plagued the world for months. The U.S. has taken measures to counter it. On a daily basis, newly confirmed cases have been reported. In the early days, these numbers showed an increasing trend. Recently, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-21 Xiubin Bruce Wang , Chaolun Ma

Novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has spread across the world at an unprecedented pace, reaching over 200 countries and territories in less than three months. In response, many governments denied entry to travellers arriving from various…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-29 Jessica Liebig , Kamran Najeebullah , Raja Jurdak , Ahmad El Shoghri , Dean Paini

This study develops a framework for quantification of the impact of changes in population mobility due to social distancing on the COVID-19 infection growth rate. Using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-05 Benjamin Seibold , Zivjena Vucetic , Slobodan Vucetic

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disturbance to human life. An important reason behind the widespread social anxiety is the huge uncertainty about the pandemic. A fundamental uncertainty is how many or what percentage of people have…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-04 Donghui Yan , Ying Xu , Pei Wang

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model has been used to track the evolution of the spread of the COVID-19 virus in four countries of interest. In particular, the epidemic model, that depends on some basic characteristics,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-28 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos

The very first infected novel coronavirus case (COVID-19) was found in Hubei, China in Dec. 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic has spread over 214 countries and areas in the world, and has significantly affected every aspect of our daily lives. At…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Quoc-Viet Pham , Dinh C. Nguyen , Thien Huynh-The , Won-Joo Hwang , Pubudu N Pathirana

In December 2019, COVID-19 were detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China. SARS-CoV-2 rapidly spread to the whole Chinese mainland with the people during the Chinese Spring Festival Travel Rush. As of 19 February 2020, 74576 confirmed…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-10 Yi Zhang , Hanwen Tian , Yinglong Zhang , Yiping Chen

In June 2020, Arizona, U.S., emerged as one of the world's worst coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) spots after the stay-at-home order was lifted in the middle of May. However, with the decisions to reimpose restrictions, the number of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-08 Nao Yamamoto , Haiyan Wang

Air pollution is a threat to human health, in particular since it aggravates respiratory diseases. Early COVID-19 outbreaks in Wuhan, China and Lombardy, Italy coincided with high levels of air pollution drawing attention to a potential…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-24 Hannah Klauber , Nicolas Koch , Sebastian Kraus

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pneumonia has posed a great threat to the world recent months by causing many deaths and enormous economic damage worldwide. The first case of COVID-19 in Morocco was reported on 2 March 2020, and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-10 Marouane Mahrouf , Adnane Boukhouima , Houssine Zine , El Mehdi Lotfi , Delfim F. M. Torres , Noura Yousfi

Intent of this research is to explore how mathematical models, specifically Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, can be utilized to forecast peak outbreak timeline of COVID-19 epidemic amongst a population of interest starting from the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-14 Amit Tewari

Ever since the COVID-19 pandemic started, all the governments have been trying to limit its effects on their citizens and countries. This pandemic was harsh on different levels for almost all populations worldwide and this is what drove…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-15 Salah El Falou , Fouad Trad

Social distancing and stay-at-home are among the few measures that are known to be effective in checking the spread of a pandemic such as COVID-19 in a given population. The patterns of dependency between such measures and their effects on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Frank Nielsen , Gautier Marti , Sumanta Ray , Saumyadipta Pyne

The relation between the number of passengers in the main stations and the infection rate of COVID19 in Tokyo is empirically studied. Our analysis based on conventional compartment model suggests: 1) Average time from the true day of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-22 Takashi Shimada , Yoshiyuki Suimon , Kiyoshi Izumi

This paper has the goal of evaluating how changes in mobility has affected the infection spread of Covid-19 throughout the 2020-2021 years. However, identifying a "clean" causal relation is not an easy task due to a high number of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Leonardo Martins , Marcelo C. Medeiros