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We obtain a Berry-Esseen type bound for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-uhlenbeck type process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion.

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-21 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Maximum likelihood degree of a projective variety is the number of critical points of a general likelihood function. In this note, we compute the Maximum likelihood degree of Fermat hypersurfaces. We give a formula of the Maximum likelihood…

代数几何 · 数学 2015-09-15 Botong Wang

Neural stochastic differential equation model with a Brownian motion term can capture epistemic uncertainty of deep neural network from the perspective of a dynamical system. The goal of this paper is to improve the convergence rate of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-09 Daili Sheng , Minghui Song , Xiang Peng , Xuanqi Dong

We give a proof of a result on the growth of the number of particles along chosen paths in a branching Brownian motion. The work follows the approach of classical large deviations results, in which paths in $C[0,1]$ are rescaled onto…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-22 Simon Harris , Matthew Roberts

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

We define a dynamic model of random networks, where new vertices are connected to old ones with a probability proportional to a sublinear function of their degree. We first give a strong limit law for the empirical degree distribution, and…

概率论 · 数学 2008-07-31 Steffen Dereich , Peter Morters

We present probabilistic interpretations of solutions to semi-linear parabolic equations with polynomial nonlinearities in terms of the voting models on the genealogical trees of branching Brownian motion (BBM). These extend the connection…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-09-09 Jing An , Christopher Henderson , Lenya Ryzhik

Let $B = (B_t)_{t \in {\bf R}}$ be a symmetric Brownian motion, i.e. $(B_t)_{t \in {\bf R}_+}$ and $(B_{-t})_{t \in {\bf R}_+}$ are independent Brownian motions starting at $0$. Given $a \ge b>0$, we describe the law of the random set…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-03 Christophe Leuridan

We consider a Gibbs distribution over all spanning trees of an undirected, edge weighted finite graph, where, up to normalization, the probability of each tree is given by the product of its edge weights. Defining the weighted degree of a…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Enrique Fita Sanmartín , Christoph Schnörr , Fred A. Hamprecht

Tropical geometry with the max-plus algebra has been applied to statistical learning models over tree spaces because geometry with the tropical metric over tree spaces has some nice properties such as convexity in terms of the tropical…

组合数学 · 数学 2021-11-02 Ruriko Yoshida , Shelby Cox

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We discuss chains of interacting Brownian motions. Their time reversal invariance is broken because of asymmetry in the interaction strength between left and right neighbor. In the limit of a very steep and short range potential one arrives…

数学物理 · 物理学 2014-11-13 Tomohiro Sasamoto , Herbert Spohn

We derive several explicit distributions of functionals of Brownian motion indexed by the Brownian tree. In particular, we give a direct proof of a result of Bousquet-M\'elou and Janson identifying the distribution of the density at 0 of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-19 Jean-François Le Gall , Armand Riera

We obtain assumption-free, non-asymptotic, uniform bounds on the product of the height and the width of uniformly random trees with a given degree sequence, conditioned Bienaym\'e trees and simply generated trees. We show that for a tree of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-03 Serte Donderwinkel , Robin Khanfir

We study the radius $R_T$ of a self-repellent fractional Brownian motion $\left\{B^H_t\right\}_{0\le t\le T}$ taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our sharpest result is for $d=1$, where we find that with high probability, \begin{equation*} R_T…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-30 Le Chen , Sefika Kuzgun , Carl Mueller , Panqiu Xia

We consider the maximum process of a random walk with additive independent noise in form of $\max_{i=1,\dots,n}(S_i+Y_i)$. The random walk may have dependent increments, but its sample path is assumed to converge weakly to a fractional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-12 Yizao Wang

CRISPR technology has enabled large-scale cell lineage tracing for complex multicellular organisms by mutating synthetic genomic barcodes during organismal development. However, these sophisticated biological tools currently use ad-hoc and…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-04-02 Jean Feng , William S DeWitt , Aaron McKenna , Noah Simon , Amy Willis , Frederick A Matsen

Learning the parameters of graphical models using the maximum likelihood estimation is generally hard which requires an approximation. Maximum composite likelihood estimations are statistical approximations of the maximum likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-06-25 Muneki Yasuda , Shun Kataoka , Yuji Waizumi , Kazuyuki Tanaka

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We investigate extremal statistical properties such as the maximal and the minimal heights of randomly generated binary trees. By analyzing the master evolution equations we show that the cumulative distribution of extremal heights…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , Satya N. Majumdar
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