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A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However,…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-06 Hojun Choi , Eunho Heo , Dongjin Lee

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang

Incorporating probabilistic terms in mathematical models is crucial for capturing and quantifying uncertainties in real-world systems, especially when the solution is not unique or exhibits sudden qualitative changes as parameters vary.…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-17 Isabella Carla Gonnella , Moaad Khamlich , Federico Pichi , Gianluigi Rozza

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

In this paper we propose an algorithm for recovering sparse orthogonal polynomials using stochastic collocation. Our approach is motivated by the desire to use generalized polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) to quantify uncertainty in models…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Tao Zhou

We discuss numerical aspects related to a new class of nonlinear Stochastic Differential Equations in the sense of McKean, which are supposed to represent non conservative nonlinear Partial Differential equations (PDEs). We propose an…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-03 Anthony Le Cavil , Nadia Oudjane , Francesco Russo

Bayesian analysis enables combining prior knowledge with measurement data to learn model parameters. Commonly, one resorts to computing the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate, when only a point estimate of the parameters is of interest. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-08 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Bruno Sudret , Gerhard Müller

Materials exhibiting a substitutional disorder such as multicomponent alloys and mixed metal oxides/oxyfluorides are of great importance in many scientific and technological sectors. Disordered materials constitute an overwhelmingly large…

We introduce the smt toolbox for Matlab. It implements optimized storage and fast arithmetics for circulant and Toeplitz matrices, and is intended to be transparent to the user and easily extensible. It also provides a set of test matrices,…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-10-16 Michela Redivo-Zaglia , Giuseppe Rodriguez

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-02-16 R. Schoebi , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Generalized polynomial chaos expansions are a powerful tool to study differential equations with random coefficients, allowing in particular to efficiently approximate random invariant sets associated to such equations. In this work, we use…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-03-07 Maxime Breden

As non-institutive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) techniques have gained growing popularity among researchers, we here provide a comprehensive review of major sampling strategies for the least squares based PCE. Traditional sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Mohammad Hadigol , Alireza Doostan

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are fundamental for modeling stochastic dynamics across the natural sciences and modern machine learning. Learning their solution operators with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Dai Shi , Lequan Lin , Andi Han , Luke Thompson , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zhiyong Wang , Junbin Gao

A surrogate model approximates a computationally expensive solver. Polynomial Chaos is a method to construct surrogate models by summing combinations of carefully chosen polynomials. The polynomials are chosen to respect the probability…

This work proposes and analyzes a generalized acceleration technique for decreasing the computational complexity of using stochastic collocation (SC) methods to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) with random input data. The SC…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-05-05 Diego Galindo , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Guannan Zhang

In this paper, we establish propagation of chaos (POC) for doubly mean reflected backward stochastic differential equations (MRBSDEs). MRBSDEs differentiate the typical RBSDEs in that the constraint is not on the paths of the solution but…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-31 Hanwu Li , Ning Ning

Many high-dimensional uncertainty quantification problems are solved by polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), which represents Fourier-like series expansion in terms of random orthonormal polynomials with increasing dimensions. This…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-06 Sharif Rahman

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan