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相关论文: Assessing External Validity Over Worst-case Subpop…

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This paper presents an inference method for the local average treatment effect (LATE) in the presence of high-dimensional covariates, regardless of the strength of identification. We propose an orthogonalized Anderson-Rubin test statistic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Yukun Ma

Randomized control trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating causal effects, but often use samples that are non-representative of the actual population of interest. We propose a reweighting method for estimating population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-09 Kellie Ottoboni , Jason Poulos

The purpose of this paper is to provide guidelines for empirical researchers who use a class of bivariate threshold crossing models with dummy endogenous variables. A common practice employed by the researchers is the specification of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-03-06 Sukjin Han , Sungwon Lee

The performance of ML models degrades when the training population is different from that seen under operation. Towards assessing distributional robustness, we study the worst-case performance of a model over all subpopulations of a given…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Mike Li , Daksh Mittal , Hongseok Namkoong , Shangzhou Xia

Background: External validation is essential for assessing the transportability of predictive models. However, its interpretation is often confounded by differences between external and development populations. This study introduces a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Mohammad Azizmalayeri , Ameen Abu-Hanna , Saskia Houterman , Marije M. Vis , Giovanni Cinà

Background: Randomized controlled trials are often used to inform policy and practice for broad populations. The average treatment effect (ATE) for a target population, however, may be different from the ATE observed in a trial if there are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Benjamin Ackerman , Ian Schmid , Stephen R. Cole , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Studies intended to estimate the effect of a treatment, like randomized trials, may not be sampled from the desired target population. To correct for this discrepancy, estimates can be transported to the target population. Methods for…

Investigators often use multi-source data (e.g., multi-center trials, meta-analyses of randomized trials, pooled analyses of observational cohorts) to learn about the effects of interventions in subgroups of some well-defined target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-06 Guanbo Wang , Alexander Levis , Jon Steingrimsson , Issa Dahabreh

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

While sample sizes in randomized clinical trials are large enough to estimate the average treatment effect well, they are often insufficient for estimation of treatment-covariate interactions critical to studying data-driven precision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-22 Steve Yadlowsky , Fabio Pellegrini , Federica Lionetto , Stefan Braune , Lu Tian

Analyses of environmental phenomena often are concerned with understanding unlikely events such as floods, heatwaves, droughts or high concentrations of pollutants. Yet the majority of the causal inference literature has focused on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Shuo Sun , Erica E. M. Moodie , Johanna G. Nešlehová

This paper investigates the finite sample performance of a range of parametric, semi-parametric, and non-parametric instrumental variable estimators when controlling for a fixed set of covariates to evaluate the local average treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-15 Hugo Bodory , Martin Huber , Michael Lechner

Many applications of causal inference require using treatment effects estimated on a study population to make decisions in a separate target population. We consider the challenging setting where there are covariates that are observed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Khurram Yamin , Vibhhu Sharma , Ed Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

We introduce an algorithm for identifying interpretable subgroups with elevated treatment effects, given an estimate of individual or conditional average treatment effects (CATE). Subgroups are characterized by ``rule sets'' --…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Albert Chiu

Generalizing treatment effects from a randomized trial to a target population requires the assumption that potential outcome distributions are invariant across populations after conditioning on observed covariates. This assumption fails…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , Cole Beck , Jared D. Huling

In this paper, we provide efficient estimators and honest confidence bands for a variety of treatment effects including local average (LATE) and local quantile treatment effects (LQTE) in data-rich environments. We can handle very many…

Considered here is a hypothesis test for the coefficients in the change-plane regression models to detect the existence of a change plane. The test that is considered is from the class of test problems in which some parameters are not…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Xu Liu , Jian Huang , Yong Zhou , Feipeng Zhang , Panpan Ren

In many empirical settings, directly observing a treatment variable may be infeasible although an error-prone surrogate measurement of the latter will often be available. Causal inference based solely on the surrogate measurement is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Ying Zhou , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Learning about causal effects in target populations and their subsets may be facilitated by combining information from multiple sources. One major class of study designs that combine information involves appending an index study with data…