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This paper proposes a new non-parametric bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty of average treatment effect estimate for the treated from matching estimators. More specifically, it seeks to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-21 Jing Li

Although increasingly used for research, electronic health records (EHR) often lack gold-standard assessment of key data elements. Linking EHRs to other data sources with higher-quality measurements can improve statistical inference, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-05 Jenny Shen , Dane Isenberg , Kristin A. Linn , Rebecca A. Hubbard

Decision-making often requires accurate estimation of treatment effects from observational data. This is challenging as outcomes of alternative decisions are not observed and have to be estimated. Previous methods estimate outcomes based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Tobias Hatt , Stefan Feuerriegel

Statistical analysis is a major aspect of baseball, from player averages to historical benchmarks and records. Much of baseball fanfare is based around players exceeding the norm, some in a single game and others over a long career. Career…

科普物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Alexander Petersen , Woo-Sung Jung , H. Eugene Stanley

Sequential Multiple-Assignment Randomized Trials (SMARTs) play an increasingly important role in psychological and behavioral health research. This experimental approach enables researchers to answer scientific questions about how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 John J. Dziak , Daniel Almirall , Walter Dempsey , Catherine Stanger , Inbal Nahum-Shani

The difference-in-differences (DID) design is widely used in observational studies to estimate the causal effect of a treatment when repeated observations over time are available. Yet, almost all existing methods assume linearity in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Soichiro Yamauchi

Consider the case that one observes a single time-series, where at each time t one observes a data record O(t) involving treatment nodes A(t), possible covariates L(t) and an outcome node Y(t). The data record at time t carries information…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-04 Mark J. van der Laan , Ivana Malenica

In this paper, we combine ideas from machine learning (ML) and operations research and management science (OR/MS) in developing a framework, along with specific methods, for using data to prescribe optimal decisions in OR/MS problems. In a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-20 Dimitris Bertsimas , Nathan Kallus

In this paper, we develop a semiparametric sensitivity analysis approach designed to address unmeasured confounding in observational studies with time-to-event outcomes. We target estimation of the marginal distributions of potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Linda Amoafo , Shiyao Xu , Elizabeth Platz , Daniel Scharfstein

Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typically accomplished by some variant of linear regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 William H. Press

Multiple and combined endpoints involving also non-normal outcomes appear in many clinical trials in various areas in medicine. In some cases, the outcome can be observed only on an ordinal or dichotomous scale. Then the success of two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-24 Edgar Brunner

This article proposes a novel adaptive design algorithm that can be used to find optimal treatment allocations in N-of-1 clinical trials. This new methodology uses two Laplace approximations to provide a computationally efficient estimate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-30 S. G. Jagath Senarathne , Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

The call for patient-focused drug development is loud and clear, as expressed in the 21st Century Cures Act and in recent guidelines and initiatives of regulatory agencies. Among the factors contributing to modernized drug development and…

Propensity scores are commonly used to estimate treatment effects from observational data. We argue that the probabilistic output of a learned propensity score model should be calibrated -- i.e., a predictive treatment probability of 90%…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Shachi Deshpande , Volodymyr Kuleshov

This paper reexamines Abadie and Imbens (2016)'s work on propensity score matching for average treatment effect estimation. We explore the asymptotic behavior of these estimators when the number of nearest neighbors, $M$, grows with the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-16 Yihui He , Fang Han

The increasing availability of individual-level data has led to numerous applications of individualized (or personalized) treatment rules (ITRs). Policy makers often wish to empirically evaluate ITRs and compare their relative performance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-06 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

The healthcare sector in the U.S. is complex and is also a large sector that generates about 20% of the country's gross domestic product. Healthcare analytics has been used by researchers and practitioners to better understand the industry.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez

Studying individual causal effects of health interventions is of interest whenever intervention effects are heterogeneous between study participants. Conducting N-of-1 trials, which are single-person randomized controlled trials, is the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Lin Zhou , Juliana Schneider , Bert Arnrich , Stefan Konigorski

Sequential multiple assignment randomized trials (SMARTs) are used to construct data-driven optimal intervention strategies for subjects based on their intervention and covariate histories in different branches of health and behavioral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-28 Palash Ghosh , Xiaoxi Yan , Bibhas Chakraborty

Standard approaches in generalizability often focus on generalizing the intent-to-treat (ITT). However, in practice, a more policy-relevant quantity is the generalized impact of an intervention across compliers. While instrumental variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Zhongren Chen , Melody Huang