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A new matching method is proposed for the estimation of the average treatment effect of social policy interventions (e.g., training programs or health care measures). Given an outcome variable, a treatment and a set of pre-treatment…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Stefano Iacus , Giuseppe Porro

For counterfactual policy evaluation, it is important to ensure that treatment parameters are relevant to policies in question. This is especially challenging under unobserved heterogeneity, as is well featured in the definition of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-08 Sukjin Han , Shenshen Yang

Learning individualized treatment rules (ITRs) is an important topic in precision medicine. Current literature mainly focuses on deriving ITRs from a single source population. We consider the observational data setting when the source…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Rui Chen , Jared D. Huling , Guanhua Chen , Menggang Yu

Effect modification occurs while the effect of the treatment is not homogeneous across the different strata of patient characteristics. When the effect of treatment may vary from individual to individual, precision medicine can be improved…

We consider estimation of an optimal individualized treatment rule from observational and randomized studies when a high-dimensional vector of baseline variables is available. Our optimality criterion is with respect to delaying expected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-09 Iván Díaz , Oleksandr Savenkov , Karla Ballman

While many machine learning methods have been used for medical prediction and risk factor analysis on healthcare data, most prior research has involved single-task learning (STL) methods. However, healthcare research often involves multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-08 Lu Wang , Haoyan Jiang , Mark Chignell

Interference--in which a unit's outcome is affected by the treatment of other units--poses significant challenges for the identification and estimation of causal effects. Most existing methods for estimating interference effects assume that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Yuhua Zhang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Shuo Sun , Ruoyu Wang

Analyses of cluster randomized trials (CRTs) can be complicated by informative missing outcome data. Methods such as inverse probability weighted generalized estimating equations have been proposed to account for informative missingness by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-13 Chia-Rui Chang , Rui Wang

There is a dearth of robust methods to estimate the causal effects of multiple treatments when the outcome is binary. This paper uses two unique sets of simulations to propose and evaluate the use of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Liangyuan Hu , Chenyang Gu , Michael Lopez , Jiayi Ji , Juan Wisnivesky

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

Researchers are frequently interested in understanding the causal effect of treatment interventions. However, in some cases, the treatment of interest--readily available in a randomized controlled trial (RCT)--is either not directly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-29 Lan Wen , Aaron L Sarvet

The weighted average treatment effect (WATE) is a causal measure for the comparison of interventions in a specific target population, which may be different from the population where data are sampled from. For instance, when the goal is to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-17 Yebin Tao , Haoda Fu

RCTs sometimes test interventions that aim to improve existing services targeted to a subset of individuals identified after randomization. Accordingly, the treatment could affect the composition of service recipients and the offered…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-18 Peter Z. Schochet

Community identification in a network is an important problem in fields such as social science, neuroscience, and genetics. Over the past decade, stochastic block models (SBMs) have emerged as a popular statistical framework for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-02 Min Xu , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

We present methodological advances in understanding the effectiveness of personalized medicine models and supply easy-to-use open-source software. Personalized medicine involves the systematic use of individual patient characteristics to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-01 Adam Kapelner , Justin Bleich , Alina Levine , Zachary D. Cohen , Robert J. DeRubeis , Richard Berk

This work develops a flexible inferential framework for nonparametric causal inference in time-to-event settings, based on stochastic interventions defined through multiplicative scaling of the intensity governing an intermediate event…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Helene Charlotte Wiese Rytgaard , Mark van der Laan

We present an end-to-end methodological framework for causal segment discovery that aims to uncover differential impacts of treatments across subgroups of users in large-scale digital experiments. Building on recent developments in causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-03 Nima S. Hejazi , Wenjing Zheng , Sathya Anand

Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) are widely used to evaluate group-level interventions and increasingly collect multiple outcomes capturing complementary dimensions of benefit and risk. Investigators often seek a single global summary of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Xinyuan Chen , Fan Li

Randomized controlled trials are the standard method for estimating causal effects, ensuring sufficient statistical power and confidence through adequate sample sizes. However, achieving such sample sizes is often challenging. This study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

Estimating how a treatment affects units individually, known as heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, is an essential part of decision-making and policy implementation. The accumulation of large amounts of data in many domains,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva