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Several analytical models have been used in this work to describe the evolution of death cases arising from coronavirus (COVID-19). The Death or `D' model is a simplified version of the SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model, which…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-19 J. E. Amaro , J. Dudouet , J. N. Orce

In this paper, we model the trajectory of the cumulative confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 (in log scale) via a piecewise linear trend model. The model naturally captures the phase transitions of the epidemic growth rate via…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-10 Feiyu Jiang , Zifeng Zhao , Xiaofeng Shao

Social distancing and stay-at-home are among the few measures that are known to be effective in checking the spread of a pandemic such as COVID-19 in a given population. The patterns of dependency between such measures and their effects on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Frank Nielsen , Gautier Marti , Sumanta Ray , Saumyadipta Pyne

Countries are recording health information on the global spread of COVID-19 using different methods, sometimes changing the rules after a few days. They are all publishing the number of new individuals infected, cured and dead, along with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-15 J. M. Calabuig , L. M. García-Raffi , A. García-Valiente , E. A. Sánchez-Pérez

With the increasing number of samples, the manual clustering of COVID-19 and medical disease data samples becomes time-consuming and requires highly skilled labour. Recently, several algorithms have been used for clustering medical datasets…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-09-21 Bryar A. Hassan , Tarik A. Rashid , Hozan K. Hamarashid

Recent outbreaks of infectious diseases have been monitored closely from an epidemiological and microbiological perspective. Extracting from this wealth of data the information that is relevant for the evolution of the pathogen and predict…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-10 Baptiste Filoche , Stefan Hohenegger

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Current available data of the worldwide impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has been analyzed using dimensional analysis and self-similarity hypotheses. We show that the time series of infected population and deaths of the most impacted and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-01 Alfonso M. Ganan-Calvo , Juan A. Hernandez Ramos

We present a phenomenological procedure of dealing with the COVID--19 data provided by government health agencies of eleven different countries. Instead of using the (exact or approximate) solutions to the SIR (or other) model(s) to fit the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Sergio A. Hojman , Felipe A. Asenjo

With the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the characteristics of the virus has become an important and challenging task in the scientific community. While tests do exist for COVID-19, the goal of our research is to explore other…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Jacob Householder , Andrew Householder , John Paul Gomez-Reed , Fredrick Park , Shuai Zhang

In this work, we propose a deep learning approach to forecasting state-level COVID-19 trends of weekly cumulative death in the United States (US) and incident cases in Germany. This approach includes a transformer model, an ensemble method,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-03 Chung Yan Fong , Dit-Yan Yeung

In most cases, mortality is analysed considering summary indicators (e.~g. $e_0$ or $e^{\dagger}_0$) that either focus on a specific mortality component or pool all component-specific information in one measure. This can be a limitation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-16 Ainhoa-Elena Léger , Stefano Mazzuco

This study investigates long-term cardiovascular complications in COVID-19 patients using advanced clustering techniques. The objective was to analyse ECG parameters, demographic data, comorbidities, and hospitalization details to identify…

The long duration of the COVID-19 pandemic allowed for multiple bursts in the infection and death rates, the so-called epidemic waves. This complex behavior is no longer tractable by simple compartmental model and requires more…

Due to the wider availability of modern electronic health records, patient care data is often being stored in the form of time-series. Clustering such time-series data is crucial for patient phenotyping, anticipating patients' prognoses by…

医学物理 · 物理学 2020-06-17 Changhee Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

At the end of April 20, 2020, there were only a few new COVID-19 cases remaining in China, whereas the rest of the world had shown increases in the number of new cases. It is of extreme importance to develop an efficient statistical model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Xiaoping Shi , Meiqian Chen , Yucheng Dong

The COVID-19 pandemic has evolved over time through multiple spatial and temporal dynamics. The varying extent of interactions among different geographical areas can result to a complex pattern of spreading so that influences between these…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-03-15 Troy McMahon , Shlomo Havlin , Lazaros K. Gallos

The COVID-19 pandemic so far has caused huge negative impacts on different areas all over the world, and the United States (US) is one of the most affected countries. In this paper, we use methods from the functional data analysis to look…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Chen Tang , Tiandong Wang , Panpan Zhang

The emergence of an epidemic evokes the need to monitor its spread and assess and validate any mitigation measures enacted by governments and administrative bodies in real time. We present here a method to observe and quantify this spread…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-11-06 Justin Trujillo , Valerica Raicu