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We propose a new approach to estimate government worker skills, a setting where output is hard to observe and wages may be uninformative about skills. The approach uses wages in comparable jobs in the private sector and machine learning…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-20 Kevin Michael Frick , Jonas Gathen

In this work, we consider rule-based investment strategies for managing a defined contribution saving scheme under the Dutch pension fund testing model. We found that dynamic rule-based investment can outperform traditional static…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-06-02 T. R. B. den Haan , K. W. Chau , M. van der Schans , C. W. Oosterlee

We aim to predict whether an employee of a company will leave or not, using the k-Nearest Neighbors algorithm. We use evaluation of employee performance, average monthly hours at work and number of years spent in the company, among others,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-28 Rahul Yedida , Rahul Reddy , Rakshit Vahi , Rahul Jana , Abhilash GV , Deepti Kulkarni

The appropriate estimation of incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves is traditionally one of the most important task of actuaries working in casualty and property insurance. As certain claims are reported many years after their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-27 Laszlo Martinek , Miklos Arato , Miklos Malyusz

In the context of life insurance with profit participation, the future discretionary benefits ($FDB$), which are a central item for Solvency~II reporting, are generally calculated by computationally expensive Monte Carlo algorithms. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Florian Gach , Simon Hochgerner

A growing body of evidence has shown that incorporating behavioral economics principles into the design of financial incentive programs helps improve their cost-effectiveness, promote individuals' short-term engagement, and increase…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-10-28 Palakorn Achananuparp , Ee-Peng Lim , Vibhanshu Abhishek , Tianjiao Yun

Using high-quality nation-wide social security data combined with machine learning tools, we develop predictive models of income support receipt intensities for any payment enrolee in the Australian social security system between 2014 and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-05-14 Dario Sansone , Anna Zhu

This work deals with an optimal asset allocation problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan during its accumulation phase. The contribution rate is proportional to the individual's salary, the dynamics of which follows a Heston…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-04 Xiaoyi Zhang , Linlin Tian

Experiments suggest that people fail to take into account interdependencies between their choices -- they do not broadly bracket. Researchers often instead assume that people narrowly bracket, but existing designs do not test it. We design…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-12 Andrew Ellis , David J. Freeman

In this paper, we analyzed the dataset IBM Employee Attrition to find the main reasons why employees choose to resign. Firstly, we utilized the correlation matrix to see some features that were not significantly correlated with other…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Shenghuan Yang , Md Tariqul Islam

This paper examines how loss aversion affects wages offered by employers and accepted by job seekers. I introduce a behavioral search model with monopsonistic firms making wage offers to job seekers who experience steeper disutility from…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-17 Ross Chu

Open Source Software (OSS) projects rely on a continuous stream of new contributors for their livelihood. Recent studies reported that new contributors experience many barriers in their first contribution, with the social barrier being…

We consider moral hazard problems where a principal has access to rich monitoring data about an agent's action. Rather than focusing on optimal contracts (which are known to in general be complicated), we characterize the optimal rate at…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-04 Mira Frick , Ryota Iijima , Yuhta Ishii

For the past two decades, the discussion regarding the effect of ICT on health systems is becoming apparent. However, past studies have mainly focused on ICT impact on specific social-economic phenomena. Little empirical research on ICT and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-05-24 Felix Olu Bankole , Lucas Mimbi

Debt aversion can have severe adverse effects on financial decision-making. We propose a model of debt aversion, and design an experiment involving real debt and saving contracts, to elicit and jointly estimate debt aversion with…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-27 Thomas Meissner , David Albrecht

In this paper, we consider a risk process with deterministic growth and multiplicative jumps to model the capital of a low-income household. Reflecting the high-risk nature of the low-income environment, capital losses are assumed to be…

We consider the problem of optimal annuitization with labour income, where an agent aims to maximize utility from consumption and labour income under age-dependent force of mortality. Using a dynamic programming approach, we derive…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-14 Criscent Birungi , Cody Hyndman

We uncover a large and significant low-minus-high rank effect for commodities across two centuries. There is nothing anomalous about this anomaly, nor is it clear how it can be arbitraged away. Using nonparametric econometric methods, we…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-07-27 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Christoffer Koch

Return-risk models are the two pillars of modern portfolio theory, which are widely used to make decisions in choosing the loan portfolio of a bank. Banks and other financial institutions are subjected to limited liability protection.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Different models of capital exchange among economic agents have been proposed recently trying to explain the emergence of Pareto's wealth power law distribution. One important factor to be considered is the existence of risk aversion. In…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 J. R. Iglesias , S. Goncalves , G. Abramson , J. L. Vega