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相关论文: Generalized Multivariate Hawkes Processes

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Multivariate Hawkes processes are past-dependant point processes originally introduced to model excitation effects, later extended to a nonlinear framework to account for the opposite effect, known as inhibition. Motivated by applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Sacha Quayle , Anna Bonnet , Maxime Sangnier

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

Given a collection of entities (or nodes) in a network and our intermittent observations of activities from each entity, an important problem is to learn the hidden edges depicting directional relationships among these entities. Here, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-01 Triet M Le

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

In this paper, we focus on a new generalization of multivariate general compound Hawkes process (MGCHP), which we referred to as the multivariate general compound point process (MGCPP). Namely, we applied a multivariate point process to…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-21 Qi Guo , Bruno Remillard , Anatoliy Swishchuk

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-17 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

It is often assumed that events cannot occur simultaneously when modelling data with point processes. This raises a problem as real-world data often contains synchronous observations due to aggregation or rounding, resulting from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Leigh Shlomovich , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall Adams

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

Generalized evolutionary point processes offer a class of point process models that allows for either excitation or inhibition based upon the history of the process. In this regard, we propose modeling which comprises generalization of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-06 Philip A. White , Alan E. Gelfand

We introduce a class of hybrid marked point processes, which encompasses and extends continuous-time Markov chains and Hawkes processes. While this flexible class amalgamates such existing processes, it also contains novel processes with…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-06 Maxime Morariu-Patrichi , Mikko S. Pakkanen

As a powerful tool of asynchronous event sequence analysis, point processes have been studied for a long time and achieved numerous successes in different fields. Among various point process models, Hawkes process and its variants attract…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-31 Hongteng Xu , Hongyuan Zha

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are a class of point processes that can account for complex temporal dynamics among event sequences. In this work, we study the accuracy and computational efficiency of three classes of algorithms which,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodríguez

The Hawkes process is a simple point process that has long memory, clustering effect, self-exciting property and is in general non-Markovian. The future evolution of a self-exciting point process is influenced by the timing of the past…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-25 Lingjiong Zhu
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