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相关论文: Quantifying the Economic Impact of Extreme Shocks …

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Can data from mobile phones be used to observe economic shocks and their consequences at multiple scales? Here we present novel methods to detect mass layoffs, identify individuals affected by them, and predict changes in aggregate…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-05-27 Jameson L. Toole , Yu-Ru Lin , Erich Muehlegger , Daniel Shoag , Marta C. Gonzalez , David Lazer

Cities are complex systems comprised of socioeconomic systems relying on critical services delivered by multiple physical infrastructure networks. Due to interdependencies between social and physical systems, disruptions caused by natural…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-16 Takahiro Yabe , P. Suresh C. Rao , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Human mobility is influenced by environmental change and natural disasters. Researchers have used trip distance distribution, radius of gyration of movements, and individuals' visited locations to understand and capture human mobility…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Qi Wang , John E. Taylor

The physical and economic damages of hurricanes can acutely affect employment and the well-being of employees. However, a comprehensive understanding of these impacts remains elusive as many studies focused on narrow subsets of regions or…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-28 Gan Zhang , Wenjun Zhu

Rapid urbanization and climate change trends are intertwined with complex interactions of various social, economic, and political factors. The increased trends of disaster risks have recently caused numerous events, ranging from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-09 Takahiro Yabe , Nicholas K W Jones , P Suresh C Rao , Marta C Gonzalez , Satish V Ukkusuri

This research explores the potential to analyze bank card payments and ATM cash withdrawals in order to map and quantify how people are impacted by and recover from natural disasters. Our approach defines a disaster-affected community's…

Travel patterns can be impacted by abnormal events. Assessing the impacts has important implications for relief operations and improving preparedness or planning for future events. Conventionally, the assessment is done followed by data…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-31 Feilong Wang , Xiangyang Guan , Cynthia Chen

Significant negative impacts are observed in productivity, economy, and social wellbeing because of the reduced human activity due to extreme events. Community resilience is an important and widely used concept to understand the impacts of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-10-02 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

There are numerous geo-climatic and human factors that contribute to the occurrence of natural disasters in the real-world scenario. Besides the study of causes and preconditions of such calamities, post-disaster analysis is essential for…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-05-26 Sukeerthi Mandyam , Shanmuga Priya , Shalini Suresh , Kavitha Srinivasan

Natural disasters can significantly disrupt human mobility in urban areas. Studies have attempted to understand and quantify such disruptions using crowdsourced mobility data sets. However, limited research has studied the justice issues of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-26 Hengfang Deng , Qi Wang

Urban economic resilience is intricately linked to how disruptions caused by pandemics, disasters, and technological shifts ripple through businesses and urban amenities. Disruptions, such as closures of non-essential businesses during the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-05 Takahiro Yabe , Bernardo Garcia Bulle Bueno , Morgan Frank , Alex Pentland , Esteban Moro

Climate change-associated disasters have become a significant concern, principally when affecting urban areas. Assessing these regions' resilience to strengthen their disaster management is crucial, especially in the areas vulnerable to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Matheus Puime Pedra , Josune Hernantes , Leire Casals , Leire Labaka

Hurricanes cause significant economic and human costs, requiring individuals to make critical evacuation decisions under uncertainty and stress. To enhance the understanding of this decision-making process, we propose using Bayesian…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Hui Sophie Wang , Nutchanon Yongsatianchot , Stacy Marsella

Estimation of excess deaths due to a natural disaster is an important public health problem. The CDC provides guidelines to fill death certificates to help determine the death toll of such events. But, even when followed by medical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Roberto Rivera , Wolfgang Rolke

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

Despite the importance of predicting evacuation mobility dynamics after large scale disasters for effective first response and disaster relief, our general understanding of evacuation behavior remains limited because of the lack of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Takahiro Yabe , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Kota Tsubouchi , Satoshi Ikemoto

The multifaceted nature of disaster impact shows that densely populated areas contribute more to aggregate burden, while sparsely populated but heavily affected regions suffer disproportionately at the individual level. This study…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-09 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Ali Mostafavi

Understanding the effects of economic shocks on firms is critical for analyzing economic growth and resilience. We introduce a Web-Based Affectedness Indicator (WAI), a general-purpose tool for real-time monitoring of economic disruptions…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-25 Michael Koenig , Jakob Rauch , Martin Woerter

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

Reliable estimates of indirect economic losses arising from natural disasters are currently out of scientific reach. To address this problem, we propose a novel approach that combines a probabilistic physical damage catastrophe model with a…

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