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Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

We consider real-time timely tracking of infection status (e.g., covid-19) of individuals in a population. In this work, a health care provider wants to detect infected people as well as people who have recovered from the disease as quickly…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-06-15 Melih Bastopcu , Sennur Ulukus

We present a computational modeling framework for data-driven simulations and analysis of infectious disease spread in large populations. For the purpose of efficient simulations, we devise a parallel solution algorithm targeting…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-02-19 Pavol Bauer , Stefan Engblom , Stefan Widgren

Impulse propagation in crowds is a phenomenon that is crucial for understanding collective dynamics, but has been scarcely addressed so far. Therefore, we have carried out experiments in which persons standing in a crowd are pushed forward…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-03-26 Sina Feldmann , Juliane Adrian , Maik Boltes

Infectious diseases have severe health and economic consequences for society. It is important in controlling the spread of an emerging infectious disease to be able to both estimate the parameters of the underlying model and identify those…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-26 Jessica Welding , Peter Neal

By incorporating segregated spatial domain and individual-based linkage into the SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, we investigate the coupled effects of random walk and intragroup interaction on contagion. Compared with the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-05 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Rong-Da Chen , Tian Qiu , Chen-Yang Zhong

The widely used susceptible-infected-recovered (S-I-R) epidemic model assumes a uniform, well-mixed population, and incorporation of spatial heterogeneities remains a major challenge. Understanding failures of the mixing assumption is…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2024-04-23 P. Forgacs , A. Libal , C. Reichhardt , N. Hengartner , C. J. O. Reichhardt

Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based models is challenging due to the high-dimensional state-space…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Christopher Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for collision avoidance in autonomous driving and robot navigation. However, predicting a pedestrian's trajectory in crowded environments is non-trivial as it is influenced by other pedestrians'…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-02-15 Sirin Haddad , Meiqing Wu , He Wei , Siew Kei Lam

Spatial big data have the "velocity," "volume," and "variety" of big data sources and additional geographic information about the record. Digital data sources, such as medical claims, mobile phone call data records, and geo-tagged tweets,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-08-30 Elizabeth C. Lee , Jason M. Asher , Sandra Goldlust , John D. Kraemer , Andrew B. Lawson , Shweta Bansal

Spatio-temporal pathogen spread is often partially observed at the metapopulation scale. Available data correspond to proxies and are incomplete, censored and heterogeneous. Moreover, representing such biological systems often leads to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-12-04 Gaël Beaunée , Pauline Ezanno , Alain Joly , Pierre Nicolas , Elisabeta Vergu

With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various studies have focused on predicting the trajectory and risk factors of the virus and its variants. Building on previous work that addressed this problem using genetic and epidemiological…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-25 Catherine Li , Daniel Lazarev

In recent years modelling crowd and evacuation dynamics has become very important, with increasing huge numbers of people gathering around the world for many reasons and events. The fact that our global population grows dramatically every…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-01-28 Mohamed H. Dridi

Effective contact tracing is crucial to contain epidemic spreading without disrupting societal activities especially in the present time of coexistence with a pandemic outbreak. Large gatherings play a key role, potentially favouring…

A numerical framework for the 'real-time' estimation of the infection risk from airborne diseases (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) in indoor spaces such as hospitals, restaurants, cinemas or teaching rooms is proposed. The developed model is based on the…

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

Collaborative path planning for robot swarms in complex, unknown environments without external positioning is a challenging problem. This requires robots to find safe directions based on real-time environmental observations, and to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Chenxi Li , Weining Lu , Zhihao Ma , Litong Meng , Bin Liang

We show the existence of traveling front solutions in a diffusive classical SIS epidemic model and the SIS model with a saturating incidence in the size of the susceptible population. We investigate the situation where both susceptible and…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-12-31 Anna Ghazaryan , Vahagn Manukian , Jonathan Waldmann , Priscilla Yinzime

The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for a classic problem in epidemiology: estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak (formally, the time-varying reproduction number) from case counts. While standard methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Bryan Wilder , Michael J. Mina , Milind Tambe

The task of infectious disease contact tracing is crucial yet challenging, especially when meeting strict privacy requirements. Previous attempts in this area have had limitations in terms of applicable scenarios and efficiency. Our paper…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-20 Tyler Nicewarner , Wei Jiang , Aniruddha Gokhale , Dan Lin