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The consideration of stochastic uncertainty in optimal and predictive control is a well-explored topic. Recently Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCE) have received considerable attention for problems involving stochastically uncertain system…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-28 Ruchuan Ou , Learta Januzi , Jonas Schießl , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne , Timm Faulwasser

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising measure-consistent multivariate orthonormal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike existing PCEs, whether classical or generalized, no…

概率论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Sharif Rahman

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Kellin N. Rumsey , Devin Francom , Graham C. Gibson , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

Building surrogate models with uncertainty quantification capabilities is essential for many engineering applications where randomness, such as variability in material properties, is unavoidable. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is widely…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Bahador Bahmani , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-01-16 Aldeida Aleti , Catia Trubiani , André van Hoorn , Pooyan Jamshidi

Recently, the use of Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) has been increasing to study the uncertainty in mathematical models for a wide range of applications and several extensions of the original PCE technique have been developed to deal with…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-06-23 Maria Navarro , Jeroen Witteveen , Joke Blom

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

We present a regression technique for data-driven problems based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). PCE is a popular technique in the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), where it is typically used to replace a runnable but expensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-02 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Surrogate modeling of costly mathematical models representing physical systems is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design. Thus, it is beneficial to constrain the approximation to adhere to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Lukáš Novák , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields

This article is devoted to providing a review of mathematical formulations in which Polynomial Chaos Theory (PCT) has been incorporated into stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). In the past decade, PCT has been shown to provide a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-18 Prabhat K. Mishra , Joel A. Paulson , Richard D. Braatz

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources introduces significant operational uncertainty into power systems. Although Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) provides an efficient tool for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-24 Le Fang , Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used in the framework of uncertainty quantification. However, when dealing with high dimensional complex problems, challenging issues need to be faced. For instance, high-order polynomials may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

We introduce PoCET: a free and open-scource Polynomial Chaos Expansion Toolbox for Matlab, featuring the automatic generation of polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for linear and nonlinear dynamic systems with time-invariant stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-13 Felix Petzke , Ali Mesbah , Stefan Streif

Operator learning (OL) has emerged as a powerful tool in scientific machine learning (SciML) for approximating mappings between infinite-dimensional functional spaces. One of its main applications is learning the solution operator of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-29 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai
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