相关论文: Functional Limit Theorems for Non-Markovian Epidem…

We study that the breakdown of epidemic depends on some parameters, that is expressed in epidemic reproduction ratio number. It is noted that when $R_0 $ exceeds 1, the stochastic model have two different results. But, eventually the…

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

We introduce a kinetic framework for modeling the time evolution of the statistical distributions of the population densities in the three compartments of susceptible, infectious, and recovered individuals, under epidemic spreading driven…

We establish finite-dimensional central limit theorems for local, additive, interaction functions of temporally evolving point processes. The dynamics are those of a spatial Poisson process on the flat torus with points subject to a…

Let $(X_i,i\geq 1)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with values in $[0,1]$, and $f$ be a function such that $`E(f(X_1)^2)<+\infty$. We show a functional central limit theorem for the process $t\mapsto \sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i)1_{X_i\leq…

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of networks of interacting non-linear Hawkes processes modeling a homogeneous population of neurons in the large population limit. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the…

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the proportion of infected individuals for an epidemic model by dealing with a discrete time system of simple random walks on a complete graph with n vertices. Each random walk makes a role of a virus.…

In this paper we consider the fractional SIS epidemic model ($\alpha$-SIS model) in the case of constant population size. We provide a representation of the explicit solution to the fractional model and we illustrate the results by…

Recently there has been considerable interest in the Fluctuation Theorem (FT). The FT shows how time reversible microscopic dynamics leads to irreversible macroscopic behavior as the system size or observation time increases. We show that…

We develop a new toolbox for the analysis of the global behavior of stochastic discrete particle systems. We introduce and study the notion of the Schur generating function of a random discrete configuration. Our main result provides a…

We study fluctuations of the empirical processes of a non-equilibrium interacting particle system consisting of two species over a domain that is recently introduced in [8] and establish its functional central limit theorem. This…

In this paper, we establish a joint (bivariate) functional central limit theorem of the sample quantile and the $r$-th absolute centred sample moment for functionals of mixing processes. More precisely, we consider $L_2$-near epoch…

Multiple-type branching processes that model the spread of infectious diseases are investigated. In these stochastic processes, the disease goes through multiple stages before it eventually disappears. We mostly focus on the critical…

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

We consider an SIR-type (Susceptible $\to$ Infected $\to$ Recovered) stochastic epidemic process with multiple modes of transmission on a contact network. The network is given by a random graph following a multilayer configuration model…

This paper shows the global existence and boundedness of solutions of a reaction diffusion system modeling liver infections. The existence proof is presented step by step and the focus lies on the interpretation of intermediate results in…

We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is stronger disease transmission within the communities than…

Global pandemics, such as the recent COVID-19 crisis, highlight the need for stochastic epidemic models that can capture the randomness inherent in the spread of disease. Such models must be accompanied by methods for estimating parameters…

We study infinite server queues driven by Cox processes in a fast oscillatory random environment. While exact performance analysis is difficult, we establish diffusion approximations to the (re-scaled) number-in-system process by proving…