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Within-host models of COVID-19 infection dynamics enable the merits of different forms of antiviral therapy to be assessed in individual patients. A stochastic agent-based model of COVID-19 intracellular dynamics is introduced here, that…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-12-22 Farzad Fatehi , Richard J Bingham , Eric C Dykeman , Peter G Stockley , Reidun Twarock

We investigate how key epidemiological parameters shape both seasonal epidemics and the persistence of dengue transmission. Our findings confirm known mechanistic drivers of epidemic variability and introduce a ranking of parameter…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-22 Cesar Alberto Rosales-Alcantar , Marcos A. Capistrán

We develop a new structured compartmental model for the coevolutionary dynamics between susceptible and infectious individuals in heterogeneous SI epidemiological systems. In this model, the susceptible compartment is structured by a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-10 Tommaso Lorenzi , Elisa Paparelli , Andrea Tosin

Coupling within-host infection dynamics with population-level transmission remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling, especially for airborne pathogens with potential to spread indoor. The frequent emergence of such diseases…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-12-18 Andrew Omame , Sarafa Iyaniwura

Models are often employed to integrate knowledge about epidemics across scales and simulate disease dynamics. While these approaches have played a central role in studying the mechanics underlying epidemics, we lack ways to reliably predict…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-11-09 Sudam Surasinghe , Ketty Kabengele , Paul E. Turner , C. Brandon Ogbunugafor

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

In this paper, we study a reaction-diffusion vector-host epidemic model. We define the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and show that $R_0$ is a threshold parameter: if $R_0\le 1$ the disease free steady state is globally stable; if $R_0>1$…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-12-05 Pierre Magal , G. F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

We investigate a time-dependent spatial vector-host epidemic model with non-coincident domains for the vector and host populations. The host population resides in small non-overlapping sub-regions, while the vector population resides…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-09-12 W. E. Fitzgibbon , J. J. Morgan , Glenn F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

Epidemiological dynamics are affected by the spatial and demographic structure of the host population. Households and neighbourhoods are known to be important groupings but little is known about the epidemiological interplay between them.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-12-12 Abby Barlow , Ben Adams , Sarah Penington

Vector-borne diseases with reservoir cycles are complex to understand because new infections come from contacts of the vector with humans and different reservoirs. In this scenario, the basic reproductive number $\mathcal{R}^h_0$ of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-02-10 Esteban Vargas , Camilo Sanabria

In this paper, a mathematical analysis of the global dynamics of a viral infection model in vivo is carried out. We study the dynamics of a hepatitis C virus (HCV) model, under therapy, that considers both extracellular and intracellular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-13 Alexis Nangue , Alan D. Rendall , Brice Kammegne Tcheugam , Patrick Steve Kamdem Simo

Oncolytic virotherapy, utilizing genetically modified viruses to combat cancer and trigger anti-cancer immune responses, has garnered significant attention in recent years. In our previous work arXiv:2305.12386, we developed a stochastic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-23 David Morselli , Marcello E. Delitala , Adrianne L. Jenner , Federico Frascoli

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role…

It has been known for some time that human autoimmune diseases can be triggered by viral infections. Several possible mechanisms of interactions between a virus and immune system have been analysed, with a prevailing opinion being that the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-09-21 K. B. Blyuss , L. B. Nicholson

During an infectious disease outbreak, providing accurate answers to policy questions about transmission requires a detailed model of the natural history of infectiousness. Unfortunately, direct measures of infectiousness are generally…

We study a susceptible-vaccinated--infected--recovered (SVIR) epidemic-spreading model with diversity of infection rate of the individuals. By means of analytical arguments as well as extensive computer simulations, we demonstrate that the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-12-05 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi wu , Jian-Yue Guan