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We develop methods, based on extreme value theory, for analysing observations in the tails of longitudinal data, i.e., a data set consisting of a large number of short time series, which are typically irregularly and non-simultaneously…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Jess Spearing , Jonathan Tawn , David Irons , Tim Paulden

Inspired by the Games held in ancient Greece, modern Olympics represent the world's largest pageant of athletic skill and competitive spirit. Performances of athletes at the Olympic Games mirror, since 1896, human potentialities in sports,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-07-16 Filippo Radicchi

In many competitive settings, from education to politics, rules do not reward effort evenly, and thresholds (e.g., grade cutoffs or electoral majorities) make some moments disproportionately important. Success thus depends on efficiently…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Masatsugu Yoshizawa , Yuta Kawamoto , Daisuke Takeshita

Though athletics statistics are abundant, it is a difficult task to quantitatively compare performances from different events of track, field, and road running in a meaningful way. There are several commonly-used methods, but each has its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-27 Brian Godsey

This paper applies existing and new approaches to study trends in the performance of elite athletes over time. We study both track and field scores of men and women athletes on a yearly basis from 2001 to 2019, revealing several trends and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

We employ the novel theory of heterogeneous extreme value statistics to accurately estimate the ultimate world records for the 100-m running race, for men and for women. For this aim we collected data from 1991 through 2023 from thousands…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-07 John Einmahl , Yi He

Rankings on online platforms help their end-users find the relevant information -- people, news, media, and products -- quickly. Fair ranking tasks, which ask to rank a set of items to maximize utility subject to satisfying group-fairness…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Sruthi Gorantla , Anay Mehrotra , Amit Deshpande , Anand Louis

Scoring rules aggregate individual rankings by assigning some points to each position in each ranking such that the total sum of points provides the overall ranking of the alternatives. They are widely used in sports competitions consisting…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-03-28 László Csató

Ranking is a ubiquitous phenomenon in the human society. By clicking the web pages of Forbes, you may find all kinds of rankings, such as world's most powerful people, world's richest people, top-paid tennis stars, and so on and so forth.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-03 Weibing Deng , Wei Li , Xu Cai , Alain Bulou , Qiuping A. Wang

Numerous approaches are proposed in the literature for non-stationarity marginal extreme value inference, including different model parameterisations with respect to covariate, and different inference schemes. The objective of this article…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-16 Matthew Jones , David Randell , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Computational models of aquatic locomotion range from individual modest simple swimmers in 2D to sophisticated 3D individual swimmers to complex multi-swimmer models that attempt to parse collective behavioral dynamics. Each of these models…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-07-31 Nicholas A. Battista

We present the methods employed by team `Uniofbathtopia' as part of the Data Challenge organised for the 13th International Conference on Extreme Value Analysis (EVA2023), including our winning entry for the third sub-challenge. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-22 Henry Elsom , Matthew Pawley

Missing data occur in a variety of applications of extreme value analysis. In the block maxima approach to an extreme value analysis, missingness is often handled by either ignoring missing observations or dropping a block of observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 James H. McVittie , Orla A. Murphy

Our contribution is to widen the scope of extreme value analysis applied to discrete-valued data. Extreme values of a random variable $X$ are commonly modeled using the generalized Pareto distribution, a method that often gives good results…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-18 Adrien Hitz , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Designs conditions for marine structures are typically informed by threshold-based extreme value analyses of oceanographic variables, in which excesses of a high threshold are modelled by a generalized Pareto (GP) distribution. Too low a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-02 Paul Northrop , Nicolas Attalides , Philip Jonathan

Current approaches to group fairness in federated learning assume the existence of predefined and labeled sensitive groups during training. However, due to factors ranging from emerging regulations to dynamics and location-dependency of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Afroditi Papadaki , Natalia Martinez , Martin Bertran , Guillermo Sapiro , Miguel Rodrigues

This brief paper summarize the chances offered by the Peak-Over-Threshold method, related with analysis of extremes. Identification of appropriate Value at Risk can be solved by fitting data with a Generalized Pareto Distribution. Also an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-04 Gianluca Rosso

Evaluating a country's sporting success provides insight into its decision-making and infrastructure for developing athletic talent. The Olympic Games serve as a global benchmark, yet conventional medal rankings can be unduly influenced by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Cormac MacDermott , Carl J. Scarrott , John Ferguson

Recent advances in extreme value theory have established $\ell$-Pareto processes as the natural limits for extreme events defined in terms of exceedances of a risk functional. Here we provide methods for the practical modelling of data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Emeric Thibaud , Thomas Opitz

Ranking athletes by their performance in competitions and tournaments is common in every popular sport and has significant benefits that contribute to both the organization and strategic aspects of competitions. Although rankings are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-28 Bogdán Asztalos , Boldizsár Balázs , Gergely Palla , Tamás Vicsek
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