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Suppose it is of interest to characterize effect heterogeneity of an intervention across levels of a baseline covariate using only pre- and post- intervention outcome measurements from those who received the intervention, i.e. with no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Zach Shahn

Estimating causal effects under interference, where the stable unit treatment value assumption is violated, is critical in fields such as regional and public economics. Much of the existing research on causal inference under interference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Akihiro Sato , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We discuss the identifiability of causal estimands for generalizability and transportability analyses, both under perfect and imperfect adherence to treatment assignment. We consider a setting where the trial data contain information on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Issa J. Dahabreh , Sarah E. Robertson , Miguel A. Hernán

This paper shows that the Conditional Quantile Treatment Effect on the Treated can be identified using a combination of (i) a conditional Distributional Difference in Differences assumption and (ii) an assumption on the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li , Tatsushi Oka

In a unified framework, we provide estimators and confidence bands for a variety of treatment effects when the outcome of interest, typically a duration, is subjected to right censoring. Our methodology accommodates average, distributional,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-04 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

This paper develops a novel nonparametric identification method for treatment effects in settings where individuals self-select into treatment sequences. I propose an identification strategy which relies on a dynamic version of standard…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-05 Pedro Picchetti

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

We consider estimation and inference of the effects of a policy in the absence of an untreated or control group. We obtain unbiased estimators of individual (heterogeneous) treatment effects and a consistent and asymptotically normal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 Irene Botosaru , Raffaella Giacomini , Martin Weidner

Many applications of causal inference require using treatment effects estimated on a study population to make decisions in a separate target population. We consider the challenging setting where there are covariates that are observed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Khurram Yamin , Vibhhu Sharma , Ed Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with covariate-adaptive randomization when there are multiple treatments. More specifically, we study inference about the average effect of one or more treatments relative to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-21 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Azeem M. Shaikh

The presence of unobserved confounders is one of the main challenges in identifying treatment effects. In this paper, we propose a new approach to causal inference using panel data with large large $N$ and $T$. Our approach imputes the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Ben Deaner , Chen-Wei Hsiang , Andrei Zeleneev

The aim of clinical effectiveness research using repositories of electronic health records is to identify what health interventions 'work best' in real-world settings. Since there are several reasons why the net benefit of intervention may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Jie Zhu , Blanca Gallego

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) are the current gold standards to empirically measure the effect of a new drug. However, they may be of limited size and resorting to complementary non-randomized data, referred to as observational, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Ahmed Boughdiri , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

What proportion of treated units actually benefited from an experimental intervention? What is the median or the largest individual treatment effect? This paper develops methods for answering such questions about the distribution of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 David Kim , Yongchang Su , Jake Bowers , Xinran Li

A benefit of randomized experiments is that covariate distributions of treatment and control groups are balanced on average, resulting in simple unbiased estimators for treatment effects. However, it is possible that a particular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Zach Branson , Luke Miratrix

In this paper the estimation of the distribution function for potential outcomes to receiving or not receiving a treatment is studied. The approach is based on weighting observed data on the basis on estimated propensity score. A weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Pier Luigi Conti , Livia De Giovanni

This paper studies the identification, estimation, and inference of long-term (binary) treatment effect parameters when balanced panel data is not available, or consists of only a subset of the available data. We develop a new estimator:…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-04 Christophe Bellégo , David Benatia , Vincent Dortet-Bernardet

The treatment allocation mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized by maximizing the nonparametric efficiency bound for a specific measure of treatment effect. Optimal treatment allocations which may or may not depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

When treatment effect modifiers influence the decision to participate in a randomized trial, the average treatment effect in the population represented by the randomized individuals will differ from the effect in other populations. In this…