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Adaptive Langevin dynamics is a method for sampling the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution at prescribed temperature in cases where the potential gradient is subject to stochastic perturbation of unknown magnitude. The method replaces the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-14 Benedict Leimkuhler , Matthias Sachs , Gabriel Stoltz

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Human drivers have limited and time-varying cognitive resources when making decisions in real-world traffic scenarios, which often leads to unique and stochastic behaviors that can not be explained by perfect rationality assumption, a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-15 Mehmet Ozkan , Yao Ma

We propose a model predictive control approach for autonomous vehicles that exploits learned Gaussian processes for predicting human driving behavior. The proposed approach employs the uncertainty about the GP's prediction to achieve…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-09 Johanna Bethge , Maik Pfefferkorn , Alexander Rose , Jan Peters , Rolf Findeisen

With the rapid development of Connected and Automated Vehicle (CAV) technology, limited self-driving vehicles have been commercially available in certain leading intelligent transportation system countries. When formulating the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-30 Dianchao Lin , Li Li

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-13 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

Motivated by an application to empirical Bayes learning in high-dimensional regression, we study a class of Langevin diffusions in a system with random disorder, where the drift coefficient is driven by a parameter that continuously adapts…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Zhou Fan , Justin Ko , Bruno Loureiro , Yue M. Lu , Yandi Shen

Monitoring and control of traffic networks represent alternative, inexpensive strategies to minimize traffic congestion. As the number of traffic sensors is naturally constrained by budgetary requirements, real-time estimation of traffic…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-11-12 Sebastian A. Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha , Christian Claudel

How can we learn the laws underlying the dynamics of stochastic systems when their trajectories are sampled sparsely in time? Existing methods either require temporally resolved high-frequency observations, or rely on geometric arguments…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-12-30 Dimitra Maoutsa

We introduce a counting process to model the random occurrence in time of car traffic accidents, taking into account some aspects of the self-excitation typical of this phenomenon. By combining methods from probability and differential…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-05-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger , Andrea Tosin

Considering high speed following on expressway or highway, an improved car-following model is developed in this paper by introducing variable safety headway distance. Stability analysis of the new model is carried out using the control…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2015-06-22 Yuhan Jia , Jianping Wu , Yiman Du

We introduce microscopic and macroscopic stochastic traffic models including traffic accidents. The microscopic model is based on a Follow-the-Leader approach whereas the macroscopic model is described by a scalar conservation law with…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger

We describe a stochastic, dynamical system capable of inference and learning in a probabilistic latent variable model. The most challenging problem in such models - sampling the posterior distribution over latent variables - is proposed to…

Lane changes are common yet challenging driving maneuvers that require continuous decision-making and dynamic interaction with surrounding vehicles. Relying solely on human drivers for lane-changing can lead to traffic disturbances due to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-30 Jiamin Wu , Chenguang Zhao , Huan Yu

Traffic control is at the core of research in transportation engineering because it is one of the best practices for reducing traffic congestion. It has been shown in recent years that the traffic control problem involving…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-10 Hao Liu , Christian Claudel , Randy Machemehl

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We present simulations of congested traffic in circular and open systems with a non-local, gas-kinetic-based traffic model and a novel car-following model. The model parameters are all intuitive and can be easily calibrated. Micro- and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing , Ansgar Hennecke , Vladimir Shvetsov , Martin Treiber

We develop a systematic approach to the linear-noise approximation for stochastic reaction systems with distributed delays. Unlike most existing work our formalism does not rely on a master equation, instead it is based upon a dynamical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-12-13 Tobias Brett , Tobias Galla

We introduce a stochastic traffic flow model to describe random traffic accidents on a single road. The model is a piecewise deterministic process incorporating traffic accidents and is based on a scalar conservation law with…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-13 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

Car-following behavior is fundamental to traffic flow theory, yet traditional models often fail to capture the stochasticity of naturalistic driving. This paper introduces a new car-following modeling category called the empirical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-31 Sungyong Chung , Yanlin Zhang , Nachuan Li , Dana Monzer , Alireza Talebpour