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Modern cosmological analyses constrain physical parameters using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or similar sampling techniques. Oftentimes, these techniques are computationally expensive to run and require up to thousands of CPU hours to…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-09-25 Thomas McClintock , Eduardo Rozo

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

Bayesian model selection enables comparison and ranking of conceptual subsurface models described by spatial prior models, according to the support provided by available geophysical data. Deep generative neural networks can efficiently…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-05-19 M. Amaya , N. Linde , E. Laloy

Gravitational wave astronomy typically relies on rigorous, computationally expensive Bayesian analyses. Several methods have been developed to perform rapid Bayesian inference, but they are not yet used to inform our full analyses. We…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2026-01-30 Metha Prathaban , Charlie Hoy , Michael J. Williams

A method is presented for performing joint analyses of cosmological datasets, in which the weight assigned to each dataset is determined directly by it own statistical properties. The weights are considered in a Bayesian context as a set of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , S. L. Bridle , O. Lahav

Sampling from the full posterior distribution of high-dimensional non-linear, non-Gaussian latent dynamical models presents significant computational challenges. While Particle Gibbs (also known as conditional sequential Monte Carlo) is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-05 Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Sequential optimization methods are often confronted with the curse of dimensionality in high-dimensional spaces. Current approaches under the Gaussian process framework are still burdened by the computational complexity of tracking…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-08 Zeji Yi , Yunyue Wei , Chu Xin Cheng , Kaibo He , Yanan Sui

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

Most machine learning methods require careful selection of hyper-parameters in order to train a high performing model with good generalization abilities. Hence, several automatic selection algorithms have been introduced to overcome tedious…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-17 Raju Ram , Sabine Müller , Franz-Josef Pfreundt , Nicolas R. Gauger , Janis Keuper

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

Gaussian processes offers a convenient way to perform nonparametric reconstructions of observational data assuming only a kernel which describes the covariance between neighbouring points in a data set. We approach the ambiguity in the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-08-17 Reginald Christian Bernardo , Jackson Levi Said

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

The dual tasks of quantum Hamiltonian learning and quantum Gibbs sampling are relevant to many important problems in physics and chemistry. In the low temperature regime, algorithms for these tasks often suffer from intractabilities, for…

We consider the problem of estimating the uncertainty in statistical inverse problems using Bayesian inference. When the probability density of the noise and the prior are Gaussian, the solution of such a statistical inverse problem is also…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-07-20 Peter Benner , Yue Qiu , Martin Stoll

Modern applications routinely collect high-dimensional data, leading to statistical models having more parameters than there are samples available. A common solution is to impose sparsity in parameter estimation, often using penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Paolo Onorati , David B. Dunson , Antonio Canale

Bayesian inference is the workhorse of gravitational-wave astronomy, for example, determining the mass and spins of merging black holes, revealing the neutron star equation of state, and unveiling the population properties of compact…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2019-09-04 Colm Talbot , Rory Smith , Eric Thrane , Gregory B. Poole

We develop a novel parallel decomposition strategy for unweighted, undirected graphs, based on growing disjoint connected clusters from batches of centers progressively selected from yet uncovered nodes. With respect to similar previous…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2015-02-09 Matteo Ceccarello , Andrea Pietracaprina , Geppino Pucci , Eli Upfal