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相关论文: Bitcoin Price Prediction: An ARIMA Approach

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The year 2024 witnessed a major development in the cryptocurrency industry with the long-awaited approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This innovation provides investors with a new, regulated path to gain exposure to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-04 Di Wu

We endorse the idea, suggested in recent literature, that BitCoin prices are influenced by sentiment and confidence about the underlying technology; as a consequence, an excitement about the BitCoin system may propagate to BitCoin prices…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-23 Alessandra Cretarola , Gianna Figà-Talamanca

The prediction of foreign exchange rates, such as the US Dollar (USD) to Bangladeshi Taka (BDT), plays a pivotal role in global financial markets, influencing trade, investments, and economic stability. This study leverages historical…

Bitcoin, with its ever-growing popularity, has demonstrated extreme price volatility since its origin. This volatility, together with its decentralised nature, make Bitcoin highly subjective to speculative trading as compared to more…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-13 Yanzhao Zou , Dorien Herremans

Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin (BTC), which comprise a new digital asset class, have drawn extraordinary worldwide attention. The characteristics of the cryptocurrency/BTC include a high level of speculation, extreme volatility and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-24 Ai Jun Hou , Weining Wang , Cathy Y. H. Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Over the last decade, the cryptocurrency market has experienced unprecedented growth, emerging as a prominent financial market. As this market rapidly evolves, it necessitates re-evaluating which cryptocurrencies command the market and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-31 Arnav Hiray , Pratvi Shah , Vishwa Shah , Agam Shah , Sudheer Chava , Mukesh Tiwari

With the increasing enrichment and development of the financial derivatives market, the frequency of transactions is also faster and faster. Due to human limitations, algorithms and automatic trading have recently become the focus of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-21 Jiashu Lou , Leyi Cui , Ye Li

The development of artificial intelligence has made significant contributions to the financial sector. One of the main interests of investors is price predictions. Technical and fundamental analyses, as well as econometric analyses, are…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-19 Asef Yelghi , Aref Yelghi , Shirmohammad Tavangari

We use the database leak of Mt. Gox exchange to analyze the dynamics of the price of bitcoin from June 2011 to November 2013. This gives us a rare opportunity to study an emerging retail-focused, highly speculative and unregulated market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 Olivier Scaillet , Adrien Treccani , Christopher Trevisan

Although Bitcoin was intended to be a decentralized digital currency, in practice, mining power is quite concentrated. This fact is a persistent source of concern for the Bitcoin community. We provide an explanation using a simple model to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-11-22 Nick Arnosti , S. Matthew Weinberg

The rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market presents unique challenges for investment due to its inherent volatility and evolving regulatory environment. Collective price movements can be exploited to construct diversified portfolios with…

科普物理 · 物理学 2026-05-01 Ruixue Jing , Ryota Kobayashi , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

Since its advent in 2009, Bitcoin, a cryptography-enabled peer-to-peer digital payment system, has been gaining increasing attention from both academia and industry. An effort designed to overcome a cluster of bottlenecks inherent in…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 Ling Cheng , Feida Zhu , Huiwen Liu , Chunyan Miao

Transaction fee prediction in Bitcoin's ecosystem represents a crucial challenge affecting both user costs and miner revenue optimization. This study presents a systematic evaluation of six predictive models for forecasting Bitcoin…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Jiangqin Ma , Erfan Mahmoudinia

A stock market is considered as one of the highly complex systems, which consists of many components whose prices move up and down without having a clear pattern. The complex nature of a stock market challenges us on making a reliable…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-09-27 Minjun Kim , Hiroki Sayama

Digital currencies and cryptocurrencies have hesitantly started to penetrate the investors, and the next step will be the regulatory risk management framework. We examine the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall properties for the major…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-08-31 Stavros Stavroyiannis

Digital currencies represent a new method for exchange and investment that differs strongly from any other fiat money seen throughout history. A digital currency makes it possible to perform all financial transactions without the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-03-11 Xianyi Gao , Gradeigh D. Clark , Janne Lindqvist

In this note, we compare Bitcoin trading performance using two machine learning models-Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-and two technical analysis-based strategies: Exponential Moving Average…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-04 José Ángel Islas Anguiano , Andrés García-Medina

This research aims to identify how Bitcoin-related news publications and online discourse are expressed in Bitcoin exchange movements of price and volume. Being inherently digital, all Bitcoin-related fundamental data (from exchanges, as…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-11-09 Marvin Aron Kennis

We study the problem of predicting whether the price of the 21 most popular cryptocurrencies (according to coinmarketcap.com) will go up or down on day d, using data up to day d-1. Our C2P2 algorithm is the first algorithm to consider the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Chongyang Bai , Tommy White , Linda Xiao , V. S. Subrahmanian , Ziheng Zhou

This paper will propose a novel machine learning based portfolio management method in the context of the cryptocurrency market. Previous researchers mainly focus on the prediction of the movement for specific cryptocurrency such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Zijiang Yang