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Understanding holistic impact of planned transportation solutions and interventions on urban systems is challenged by their complexity but critical for decision making. The cornerstone for such impact assessments is estimating the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Devashish Khulbe , Chaogui Kang , Stanislav Sobolevsky

While spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling recurring traffic patterns, their reliability plummets during non-recurring events like accidents. This failure occurs because GNNs are fundamentally correlational models,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Luyao Niu , Zepu Wang , Shuyi Guan , Yang Liu , Peng Sun

Urban traffic congestion remains a persistent issue for cities worldwide. Recent macroscopic models have adopted a mathematically well-defined relation between network flow and density to characterize traffic states over an urban region.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-09 Mostafa Ameli , Jean-Patrick Lebacque , Negin Alisoltani , Ludovic Leclercq

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

This study enhances a crowd density estimation algorithm originally designed for image-based analysis by adapting it for video-based scenarios. The proposed method integrates a denoising probabilistic model that utilizes diffusion processes…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Balachandra Devarangadi Sunil , Rakshith Venkatesh , Shantanu Todmal

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) (Chipman et. al., 2010) is a powerful predictive model that often outperforms alternative models at out-of-sample prediction. BART is especially well-suited to settings with unstructured predictor…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-15 Jingyu He , Saar Yalov , P. Richard Hahn

Additive regression trees are flexible non-parametric models and popular off-the-shelf tools for real-world non-linear regression. In application domains, such as bioinformatics, where there is also demand for probabilistic predictions with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-17 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

Deep within the networks of distributed systems, one often finds anomalies that affect their efficiency and performance. These anomalies are difficult to detect because the distributed systems may not have sufficient sensors to monitor the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2014-12-09 Freddy Chong Tat Chua , Ee-Peng Lim , Bernardo A. Huberman

Demand for fast and economical parcel deliveries in urban environments has risen considerably in recent years. A framework envisions efficient last-mile delivery in urban environments by leveraging a network of ride-sharing vehicles, where…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Gabriel Barsi Haberfeld , Aditya Gahlawat , Naira Hovakimyan

A comprehensive data analysis system is implemented for the extraction of information and comparison of North American public transport systems. The system is based on network representations of the transport systems and makes use of a span…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-01-08 Abbas Masoumzadeh , Tilemachos Pechlivanoglou

The shift from private vehicles to public and shared transport is crucial to reducing emissions and meeting climate targets. Consequently, there is an urgent need to develop a multimodal transport trip planning approach that integrates…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-21 Yimeng Zhang , Oded Cats , Shadi Sharif Azadeh

Detecting anomalous activity in human mobility data has a number of applications including road hazard sensing, telematic based insurance, and fraud detection in taxi services and ride sharing. In this paper we address two challenges that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Kathryn Gray , Daniel Smolyak , Sarkhan Badirli , George Mohler

Accurately modeling traffic speeds is a fundamental part of efficient intelligent transportation systems. Nowadays, with the widespread deployment of GPS-enabled devices, it has become possible to crowdsource the collection of speed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

Existing models to extract temporal relations between events lack a principled method to incorporate external knowledge. In this study, we introduce Bayesian-Trans, a Bayesian learning-based method that models the temporal relation…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Xingwei Tan , Gabriele Pergola , Yulan He

Accurate demand forecasting of different public transport modes(e.g., buses and light rails) is essential for public service operation.However, the development level of various modes often varies sig-nificantly, which makes it hard to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Can Li , Lei Bai , Wei Liu , Lina Yao , S Travis Waller

For autonomous agents to successfully operate in the real world, the ability to anticipate future scene states is a key competence. In real-world scenarios, future states become increasingly uncertain and multi-modal, particularly on long…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-23 Apratim Bhattacharyya , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

This paper addresses the limitations of standard uncertainty models, e.g., robust (norm-bounded) and stochastic (one fixed distribution, e.g., Gaussian), and proposes to model uncertainty via Optimal Transport (OT) ambiguity sets. These…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-08 Liviu Aolaritei , Nicolas Lanzetti , Hongruyu Chen , Florian Dörfler

The pervasiveness and availability of mobile phone data offer the opportunity of discovering usable knowledge about crowd behaviors in urban environments. Cities can leverage such knowledge in order to provide better services (e.g., public…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-04-15 Yuxiao Dong , Fabio Pinelli , Yiannis Gkoufas , Zubair Nabi , Francesco Calabrese , Nitesh V. Chawla

Societal events shape the Internet's behavior. The death of a prominent public figure, a software launch, or a major sports match can trigger sudden demand surges that overwhelm peering points and content delivery networks. Although these…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 Jonatan Langlet , Mariano Scazzariello , Flavio Luciani , Marta Burocchi , Dejan Kostić , Marco Chiesa