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We construct an autoregressive model with random coefficients that has a stationary distribution after proper normalization. This limit distribution is found to be stable.

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-29 Lev B. Klebanov , Gregory Temnov , Ashot Kakosyan

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

In this paper we study posterior consistency for different topologies on the parameters for hidden Markov models with finite state space. We first obtain weak and strong posterior consistency for the marginal density function of finitely…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-09 Elodie Vernet

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We give a recursive construction of the stationary distribution of multi-type asymmetric simple exclusion processes on a finite ring or on the infinite line $Z$. The construction can be interpreted in terms of "multi-line diagrams" or…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-10 James B. Martin

We prove under mild conditions that the Fleming-Viot process selects the minimal quasi-stationary distribution for Markov processes with soft killing on non-compact state spaces. Our results are applied to multi-dimensional birth and death…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-17 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Consider a one-sided Markov additive process with an upper and a lower barrier, where each can be either reflecting or terminating. For both defective and non-defective processes and all possible scenarios we identify the corresponding…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-20 Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

We study a linear recursion with random Markov-dependent coefficients. In a "regular variation in, regular variation out" setup we show that its stationary solution has a multivariate regularly varying distribution. This extends results…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-15 D. Hay , R. Rastegar , A. Roitershtein

We investigate the scaling properties of products of the exponential of birth--death processes with certain given marginal discrete distributions and covariance structures. The conditions on the mean, variance and covariance functions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-15 Vo V. Anh , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Narn-Rueih Shieh

In this paper, a connection between bi-free probability and the theory of non-commutative stochastic processes is examined. Specifically it is demonstrated that the transition operators for non-commutative stochastic processes can be…

算子代数 · 数学 2022-04-26 Paul Skoufranis

We consider finite state space stationary hidden Markov models (HMMs) in the situation where the number of hidden states is unknown. We provide a frequentist asymptotic evaluation of Bayesian analysis methods. Our main result gives…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-27 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau

In this article the construction of a stationary random knot is proposed. The corresponding smooth random curve has no self-intersections in deterministic moments of time and changes its topological type at random moments.

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-17 Andrey A. Dorogovtsev

We provide results demonstrating the smoothness of some marginal log-linear parameterizations for distributions on multi-way contingency tables. First we give an analytical relationship between log-linear parameters defined within different…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-12 Robin J. Evans

We study the fractal properties of the stationary distrubtion {\pi} for a simple Markov process on R. We will give bounds for the Hausdorff dimension of {\pi}, and lower bounds for the multifractal spectrum of {\pi}. Additionally, we will…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-06 Andreas Anckar , Göran Högnäs

We construct a pathwise formulation for a multi-type age-structured population dynamics, which involves an age-dependent cell replication and transition of gene- or phenotypes. By employing the formulation, we derive a variational…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-01-16 Yuki Sughiyama , So Nakashima , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

We explore two notions of stationary processes. The first is called a random-step Markov process in which the stationary process of states, $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ has a stationary coupling with an independent process on the positive…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-07 Neal Bushaw , Karen Gunderson , Steven Kalikow

The negative binomial distribution NB$(k,r)$ of Type I is the probability distribution for a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials (with success parameter $p\in(0,1)$) with $r$ nonoverlapping success runs of length $\ge k$. We present a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-30 S. R. Mane